Blue Jays vs. Mariners Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/18/2022

by | May 18, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Blue Jays vs. Mariners Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/18/2022

The Toronto Blue Jays (20-17), led by Vladimir Guerrero Jr. on a 14-game hitting streak, will meet the Seattle Mariners (16-21) Wednesday at Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays are -239 favorites for the matchup, which starts at 7:07 PM ET. Toronto’s Kevin Gausman and Seattle’s Marco Gonzales have been named the starters for this contest.

Blue Jays vs. Mariners Spread and Betting Line

Blue Jays vs Mariners Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Blue Jays -239 +195 8 -103 -117 -1.5 -109 -112

Computer Predictions for Blue Jays vs. Mariners

Our computer pick: Seattle Mariners (+195) and Over (8)

Blue Jays vs. Mariners Game Info

  • Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman
  • Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Marco Gonzales
  • Game Day: Wednesday, May 18, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:07 PM ET
  • Location: Toronto, Ontario
  • Stadium: Rogers Centre

Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Matchup

Gausman Gonzales
7 GS 7
3-2 W-L 1-4
2.40 ERA 3.38
45.0 IP 32.0
2 BB 13
54 SO 22

Blue Jays Starter Kevin Gausman

  • Gausman gets the start for the Blue Jays, his eighth of the season. He is 3-2 with a 2.40 ERA and 54 strikeouts through 45 innings pitched.
  • In his last appearance on Friday, the righty tossed seven innings against the Tampa Bay Rays, giving up three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
  • In seven games this season, the 31-year-old has an ERA of 2.40, with 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .244 against him.
  • Gausman is seeking his sixth quality start in a row.
  • Gausman is looking for his eighth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.1 frames per appearance on the mound.
  • The opposing Mariners offense has the 18th-ranked slugging percentage (.367) and ranks 14th in MLB play with 35 home runs. It has a collective .230 batting average, and is 18th in MLB with 282 total hits and 21st in MLB action scoring 141 runs.
  • The 31-year-old’s 2.40 ERA ranks 14th, .978 WHIP ranks 12th, and 10.8 K/9 ranks eighth among qualifying pitchers this season.

Mariners Starter Marco Gonzales

  • Gonzales (1-4) will take the mound for the Mariners, his eighth start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Friday, when he threw 6 2/3 innings against the New York Mets, giving up one earned run while allowing five hits.
  • The 30-year-old has an ERA of 3.38, a 1.692 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.531 in seven games this season.
  • In seven starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in three of them.
  • Gonzales will look to pitch five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
  • The Blue Jays have scored 139 runs this season, which ranks 22nd in MLB. They are batting .235 for the campaign with 39 home runs, 10th in the league.

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Blue Jays have been favored 27 times and won 16, or 59.3%, of those games.
  • Toronto has played as a favorite of -239 or more once this season and won that game.
  • The Blue Jays have a 70.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • So far this season, Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 15 of their 37 games with a total.
  • In 37 games with a spread this season, the Blue Jays are 16-21-0 ATS.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Mariners have been victorious in nine, or 34.6%, of the 26 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Seattle has played as an underdog of +195 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
  • The Mariners have an implied victory probability of 33.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Seattle’s games have gone over the total in 18 of their 37 opportunities.
  • The Mariners have an against the spread record of 19-18-0 in 37 games with a line this season.

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Guerrero has put up a team-best batting average of .282, while pacing the Blue Jays in home runs (seven).
  • Of all hitters in baseball, Guerrero is 22nd in homers and 41st in RBI.
  • Guerrero carries a 14-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .263 with four walks and an RBI.
  • George Springer’s seven home runs and 21 RBI are both team-highs.
  • Springer is 22nd in home runs and 30th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
  • Springer carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .118 with a triple, two walks and four RBI.
  • Santiago Espinal paces the Blue Jays with a .282 batting average.
  • Espinal is on an 11-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .344 with four doubles, four walks and four RBI.
  • Bo Bichette is hitting .247 with seven doubles, four home runs and eight walks.
  • Bichette has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .211 with a home run, two walks and two RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 36 .282 .364 .473 7 20 37
George Springer 35 .268 .329 .504 7 21 34
Santiago Espinal 37 .282 .344 .436 2 15 33
Bo Bichette 37 .247 .284 .370 4 16 38
Matt Chapman 37 .183 .273 .365 6 16 23

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Ty France has put up a team-high batting average of .315 while pacing the Mariners in runs batted in with a mark of 25.
  • France ranks 48th in homers and 11th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Adam Frazier is batting .262 with nine doubles, a triple, a home run and 14 walks.
  • Among all major league hitters, Frazier ranks 242nd in homers and 111th in RBI.
  • J.P. Crawford is batting .302 with seven doubles, a triple, four home runs and 14 walks.
  • Jesse Winker is hitting .226 with seven doubles, two home runs and 20 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Ty France 37 .315 .392 .452 5 25 46
Adam Frazier 36 .262 .333 .362 1 14 37
J.P. Crawford 35 .302 .384 .468 4 11 38
Jesse Winker 37 .226 .325 .323 2 13 30
Eugenio Suárez 36 .208 .313 .438 7 19 27

Betting Tips for Blue Jays vs. Mariners

Our best bet is the Mariners on the moneyline at +195 after digging through all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 8 runs.

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