Brewers vs. Braves Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/18/2022

The Milwaukee Brewers (23-14) and the Atlanta Braves (17-20) meet in the rubber match of a three-game series on Wednesday at 1:10 PM ET. The Brewers are -144 favorites on the moneyline to win the series over the Braves (+123). Corbin Burnes will get the ball for Milwaukee while Atlanta counter with Max Fried.

Brewers vs. Braves Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Braves

Our computer pick: Atlanta Braves (+123) and Over (6.5)

Brewers vs. Braves Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes
• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Max Fried
• Game Day: Wednesday, May 18, 2022
• Game Time: 1:10 PM ET
• Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• Stadium: American Family Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Pitching Matchup

Brewers Starter Corbin Burnes

• Burnes gets the start for the Brewers, his eighth of the season. He is 1-2 with a 1.77 ERA and 57 strikeouts in 45 2/3 innings pitched.
• His most recent appearance was on Friday against the Miami Marlins, when the right-hander threw seven innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up five hits.
• In seven games this season, the 27-year-old has a 1.77 ERA and 11.2 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .176 to opposing hitters.
• Burnes is aiming for his seventh straight quality start.
• Burnes is seeking his eighth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.2 frames per appearance on the hill.
• He will face a Braves squad that is batting .221 as a unit (26th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .385 (13th in MLB) with 45 total home runs (fifth in MLB).
• Burnes has thrown six innings, giving up one earned run on six hits while striking out seven against the Braves this season.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 27-year-old’s 1.77 ERA ranks sixth, .788 WHIP ranks second, and 11.2 K/9 ranks sixth.

Braves Starter Max Fried

• Fried (4-2) will take to the mound for the Braves and make his eighth start of the season.
• The left-hander gave up four earned runs in six innings pitched on Friday in his last outing, a matchup with the San Diego Padres.
• The 28-year-old has pitched to a 3.14 ERA this season with 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 0.8 walks per nine across seven games.
• He has earned a quality start four times in seven starts this season.
• Fried has seven starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Brewers rank sixth in MLB with 172 runs scored this season. They have a .232 batting average this campaign with 49 home runs (fourth in the league).
• The left-hander has allowed the Brewers to go 4-for-24 with a double, a home run and an RBI in seven innings this season.
• Among qualified pitchers this season, the 28-year-old’s 3.14 ERA ranks 26th, .977 WHIP ranks 11th, and 8.6 K/9 ranks 24th.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Brewers have been favorites in 33 games this season and won 21 (63.6%) of those contests.
• Milwaukee has a record of 17-8 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -144 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Brewers, based on the moneyline, is 59%.
• So far this season, Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 17 of their 37 games with a total.
• In 37 games with a spread this season, the Brewers are 16-21-0 ATS.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have been underdogs in 14 games this season and have come away with the win seven times (50%) in those contests.
• This year, Atlanta has won one of three games when listed as at least +123 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Braves have a 44.8% chance of walking away with the win.
• Contests with Atlanta have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 20 of 37 chances this season.
• The Braves have an against the spread record of 16-21-0 in 37 games with a line this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Christian Yelich has eight doubles, a triple, five home runs and 19 walks while hitting .238.
• Yelich’s home runs rank him 48th in the majors, and he ranks 41st in RBI.
• Rowdy Tellez has made the most of his opportunities as he leads his team with 29 RBI.
• Tellez ranks 14th in homers and fourth in RBI in the major leagues.
• Willy Adames has put up a team-best nine home runs.
• Kolten Wong is hitting .248 to lead his team.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Matt Olson leads the team in batting average with a mark of .248.
• Olson’s home run total puts him 72nd in the majors, and he is 91st in RBI.
• Ozzie Albies is batting .228 with seven doubles, six home runs and 11 walks.
• Albies is currently 34th in homers and 91st in RBI in the major leagues.
• Austin Riley leads the Braves with seven long balls.
• Marcell Ozuna has driven in a team-leading 16 runs batted in.

Betting Tips for Brewers vs. Braves

After taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Braves on the moneyline at +123. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 6.5 runs.