Phillies vs. Braves Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/23/2022

Seeking their 20th win of the year, the Philadelphia Phillies (19-22) are favorites (-112) on the moneyline when they take on the Atlanta Braves (19-22) Monday at 7:20 PM ET. Zack Wheeler will get the ball for Philadelphia while Atlanta counter with Tucker Davidson.

Phillies vs. Braves Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Braves

Our computer pick: Atlanta Braves (-107) and Over (8)

Phillies vs. Braves Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler
• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Tucker Davidson
• Game Day: Monday, May 23, 2022
• Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Stadium: Truist Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Pitching Matchup

Phillies Starter Zack Wheeler

• Wheeler makes the start for the Phillies, his eighth of the season. He is 2-3 with a 3.49 ERA and 41 strikeouts through 38 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his last appearance on Wednesday against the San Diego Padres, the righty went seven scoreless innings while surrendering four hits.
• The 31-year-old has an ERA of 3.49, with 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings, in seven games this season. Opposing hitters have a .234 batting average against him.
• Wheeler has three quality starts under his belt this season.
• Wheeler is seeking his sixth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 innings per appearance on the mound.
• He will face a Braves offense that ranks 17th in the league with 167 runs while batting .222 as a unit. It has a collective .390 slugging percentage (14th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 52 home runs (fifth in MLB).

Braves Starter Tucker Davidson

• The Braves’ Davidson will make his second start of the season.
• The left-hander last pitched on Tuesday against the Milwaukee Brewers, throwing five innings without allowing a run.
• He has an ERA of 5.87, a batting average against of .258 and 5.9 strikeouts per nine innings in two games this season.
• The Phillies have scored 184 runs this season, which ranks ninth in MLB. They are batting .248 for the campaign with 48 home runs, seventh in the league.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Phillies have won 11 out of the 24 games, or 45.8%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Philadelphia is 10-13 this season when entering a game favored by -112 or more on the moneyline.
• The Phillies have a 52.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 20 of their 41 chances.
• The Phillies are 20-21-0 against the spread in their 41 chances this season.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have won in seven, or 43.8%, of the 16 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This season, Atlanta has been victorious three times in 11 chances when named as an underdog of at least -107 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Braves have a 51.7% chance of walking away with the win.
• Atlanta and their opponents have gone over in 22 of their 41 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Braves have an against the spread mark of 19-22-0 in 41 games with a line this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryce Harper comes into Monday’s game as the Phillies top run producer, collecting 27 RBI while crushing nine home runs in 2022. His .295 average is also best on the squad.
• Among all hitters in baseball, Harper is 12th in home runs and 13th in RBI.
• Jean Segura has four doubles, six home runs and nine walks while batting .290.
• Segura ranks 42nd in homers and 104th in RBI on the year.
• Segura has three games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .176 with a double and two RBI.
• Nicholas Castellanos is batting .265 with 10 doubles, five home runs and 13 walks.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit 10 home runs to lead his team.
• Schwarber is riding a five-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .353 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and an RBI.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ozzie Albies is batting .239 with eight doubles, six home runs and 11 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .291.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Albies’ home run total ranks 42nd and his RBI tally ranks 87th.
• Albies takes a hitting streak of five games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .318 with two doubles and two RBI.
• Matt Olson has a club-leading .242 batting average.
• Olson is 80th in homers and 119th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Marcell Ozuna has been a significant run producer for the Braves with eight home runs and 20 runs batted in.
• Austin Riley leads the Braves with eight home runs.

Betting Tips for Phillies vs. Braves

After looking at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Braves on the moneyline at -107. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.