Braves vs. Phillies Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/24/2022

Marcell Ozuna (10 games) will look to add to his hitting streak when the Atlanta Braves (19-23) and Philadelphia Phillies (20-22) meet Tuesday at 7:20 PM ET, live from Truist Park. Ozuna and the Braves are favored by oddsmakers with -159 odds on the moneyline. Max Fried starts for Atlanta while Kyle Gibson is Philadelphia’s starter for the contest.

Braves vs. Phillies Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Phillies

Our computer pick: Philadelphia Phillies (+137) and Over (8)

Braves vs. Phillies Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Max Fried
• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson
• Game Day: Tuesday, May 24, 2022
• Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Stadium: Truist Park

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Max Fried

• The Braves will send Fried (4-2) to make his ninth start of the season. He is 4-2 with a 3.31 ERA and 47 strikeouts in 49 innings pitched.
• The left-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday against the Milwaukee Brewers, when he threw six innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up seven hits.
• In eight games this season, the 28-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.31, with 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .239 against him.
• Fried heads into the matchup with five quality starts under his belt this year.
• Fried will try to last five or more innings for his ninth straight start. He’s averaging 6.0 innings per outing.
• The opposing Phillies offense has the third-ranked slugging percentage (.412) and ranks seventh in MLB play with 48 home runs. It has a collective .249 batting average, and is sixth in MLB with 351 total hits and eighth in MLB play scoring 191 runs.
• The 28-year-old’s 3.31 ERA ranks 29th, 1.041 WHIP ranks 20th, and 8.6 K/9 ranks 28th among qualifying pitchers this season.

Phillies Starter Kyle Gibson

• The Phillies’ Gibson (3-2) will make his ninth start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed eight hits in 5 2/3 innings pitched against the San Diego Padres on Thursday.
• The 34-year-old has pitched to a 3.98 ERA this season with 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.7 walks per nine across eight games.
• He has started eight games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in three of them.
• Gibson has made five starts of five or more innings in eight chances this season, and averages 5.1 frames when he pitches.
• The Braves have scored 170 runs this season, which ranks 19th in MLB. They have 313 hits, 23rd in baseball, with 52 home runs (fifth in the league).
• The 34-year-old’s 3.98 ERA ranks 44th, 1.233 WHIP ranks 42nd, and 7.7 K/9 ranks 35th among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have won 12, or 48%, of the 25 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Atlanta has entered 11 games this season favored by -159 or more and is 5-6 in those contests.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 61.4% chance to win.
• Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 23 of their 42 games with a total this season.
• The Braves are 19-23-0 against the spread this season.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have won in eight, or 47.1%, of the 17 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Philadelphia has a win-loss record of 2-1 when favored by +137 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 42.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Philadelphia and their opponents have gone over in 21 of their 42 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Phillies are 21-21-0 against the spread in their 42 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ozzie Albies has eight doubles, six home runs and 11 walks while batting .240.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Albies ranks 44th in homers and 87th in RBI.
• Albies carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is batting .286 with four doubles, a walk and five RBI.
• Matt Olson is batting .244 to pace his team.
• Olson is 87th in homers in MLB, and 128th in RBI.
• Ozuna has accumulated a team-best eight home runs and 20 runs batted in.
• Ozuna is on a 10-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last 10 games he is batting .317 with four home runs, two walks and eight RBI.
• Austin Riley’s eight home runs are a team-high mark.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryce Harper has driven in the most runs for the Phillies with 27 runs batted in.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Harper’s home run total is 14th and his RBI tally ranks 14th.
• Jean Segura is hitting .294 to lead the lineup.
• Segura ranks 44th in homers and 100th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Rhys Hoskins is batting .229 with eight doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 18 walks.
• Kyle Schwarber has swatted a team-high 10 home runs.

Betting Tips for Braves vs. Phillies

We have the Phillies on the moneyline at +137 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.