Braves vs. Phillies Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/25/2022

The Atlanta Braves (20-23), led by Marcell Ozuna on an 11-game hitting streak, will meet the Philadelphia Phillies (20-23) Wednesday at Truist Park. The Braves are -147 favorites for the matchup, which starts at 7:20 PM ET. Charlie Morton will get the ball for Atlanta while Philadelphia counter with Ranger Suarez.

Braves vs. Phillies Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Phillies

Our computer pick: Philadelphia Phillies (+125) and Over (8.5)

Braves vs. Phillies Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Charlie Morton
• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Ranger Suárez
• Game Day: Wednesday, May 25, 2022
• Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Stadium: Truist Park

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Charlie Morton

• Morton makes the start for the Braves, his ninth of the season. He is 3-3 with a 4.95 ERA and 37 strikeouts in 40 innings pitched.
• His last time out was on Friday against the Miami Marlins, when the righty went 5 1/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing seven hits.
• The 38-year-old has amassed an ERA of 4.95, with 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings, in eight games this season. Opposing hitters have a .250 batting average against him.
• Morton enters this matchup with one quality start under his belt this year.
• Morton is aiming for his fifth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.0 frames per appearance on the mound.
• He meets a Phillies offense that ranks eighth in the league with 196 runs while batting .250 as a squad. It has a collective .412 slugging percentage (fourth in MLB action) and has hit a total of 49 home runs (seventh in MLB).

Phillies Starter Ranger Suárez

• The Phillies’ Suarez (4-2) will make his ninth start of the season.
• The left-hander last pitched on Friday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed five hits in three innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
• The 26-year-old has pitched in eight games this season with an ERA of 4.12, a 2.2 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.449.
• He has earned a quality start three times in eight starts this season.
• Suarez has five starts of five or more innings this season in eight chances. He averages 4.3 innings per outing.
• The Braves have scored 176 runs this season, which ranks 18th in MLB. They are batting .229 for the campaign with 53 home runs, sixth in the league.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have been favorites in 26 games this season and won 13 (50%) of those contests.
• Atlanta has entered 14 games this season favored by -147 or more and is 7-7 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 59.5%.
• Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 24 of their 43 opportunities.
• The Braves are 19-24-0 against the spread in their 43 chances this season.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have been underdogs in 18 games this season and have come away with the win eight times (44.4%) in those contests.
• This season, Philadelphia has been victorious four times in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +125 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 44.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Contests with Philadelphia have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 22 of 43 chances this season.
• In 43 games with a line this season, the Phillies have a mark of 22-21-0 against the spread.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ozzie Albies’ .253 average leads the Braves this year. His resume also includes six homers and driven in 18 RBI.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Albies ranks 46th in homers and 96th in RBI.
• Albies has collected a hit in seven games in a row. During his last 10 games he is hitting .325 with three doubles, two walks and five RBI.
• Matt Olson has 16 doubles, five home runs and 30 walks while hitting .244.
• Olson is 66th in home runs and 122nd in RBI on the season.
• Olson enters this matchup looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .158 with a double, a home run, three walks and an RBI.
• Ozuna paces the Braves with eight home runs.
• Ozuna will look to build on his 11-game hitting in this game. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .325 with four home runs, two walks and eight RBI.
• Austin Riley’s eight home runs are a team-high mark.
• Riley has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .200 with a double, a walk and an RBI.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryce Harper leads the lineup with a batting average of .302, and leads the Phillies in home runs, with 10 and runs batted in with 31.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Harper is 12th in home runs and 12th in RBI.
• Harper brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .364 with two doubles, two home runs and seven RBI.
• Jean Segura is hitting .293 with four doubles, six home runs and 10 walks.
• Segura is 46th among all batters in the big leagues in homers, and 107th in RBI.
• Rhys Hoskins has eight doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 18 walks while hitting .228.
• Kyle Schwarber has a team-high 10 home runs.

Betting Tips for Braves vs. Phillies

Our best bet is the Phillies on the moneyline at +125 after digging through all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 8.5 runs.