Mets vs. Phillies Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/27/2022

The New York Mets (29-17), led by Francisco Lindor on a two-game home run streak, are -142 favorites on the moneyline to defeat the Philadelphia Phillies (21-24). First pitch is set for 7:10 PM ET Friday, live from Citi Field. New York’s Carlos Carrasco gets the start, and he’ll go against Philadelphia’s Bailey Falter.

Mets vs. Phillies Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Phillies

Our computer pick: Philadelphia Phillies (+120) and Over (8)

Mets vs. Phillies Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco
• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Bailey Falter
• Game Day: Friday, May 27, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Carlos Carrasco

• The Mets will send Carrasco (4-1) out for his ninth start of the season. He is 4-1 with a 3.50 ERA and 39 strikeouts through 46 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his last time out on Saturday against the Colorado Rockies, the righty threw 5 1/3 innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering seven hits.
• In eight games this season, the 35-year-old has an ERA of 3.50, with 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .257 against him.
• Carrasco heads into the outing with three quality starts under his belt this year.
• Carrasco is trying to secure his seventh start of five or more innings this year in this matchup.
• The opposing Phillies offense has the third-ranked slugging percentage (.411) and is eighth in MLB play with 51 home runs. It has a collective .250 batting average, and is eighth in MLB with 378 total hits and ninth in MLB action scoring 204 runs.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 35-year-old’s 3.50 ERA ranks 33rd, 1.144 WHIP ranks 28th, and 7.6 K/9 ranks 36th.

Phillies Starter Bailey Falter

• Falter has been named the starter for the Phillies and will make his first start this season.
• The left-hander is making his first start of the year. The 25-year-old did not make an appearance on the mound last season.
• The Mets are batting .260 this season, second in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .397 (11th in the league) with 39 home runs.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Mets have been favored 39 times and won 25, or 64.1%, of those games.
• New York has a record of 13-6 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -142 on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 58.7% chance to win.
• So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 22 of their 48 games with a total.
• In 46 games with a spread this season, the Mets are 27-19-0 ATS.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have been victorious in eight, or 42.1%, of the 19 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Philadelphia has a mark of 5-5 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +120 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 45.5% chance of walking away with the win.
• Philadelphia and their opponents have hit the over in 23 of their 45 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Phillies are 23-22-0 against the spread in their 45 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Lindor has eight doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 21 walks while batting .250.
• Lindor’s home runs rank him 31st in MLB, and he is ninth in RBI.
• Lindor has collected a hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with two doubles, a triple, two home runs and 10 RBI.
• Pete Alonso’s 11 home runs and 41 runs batted in are both team-highs.
• Including all MLB hitters, Alonso ranks seventh in home runs and second in RBI.
• Jeff McNeil has racked up a team-high batting average of .321.
• Brandon Nimmo has seven doubles, four triples, three home runs and 22 walks while hitting .294.
• Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in nine straight games. During his last 10 outings he is batting .268 with a double, two triples, two walks and five RBI.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryce Harper leads the lineup with a batting average of .316, while pacing the Phillies in home runs, with 10 and runs batted in with 31.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Harper’s home run total is 13th and his RBI tally ranks 12th.
• Harper carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .391 with three doubles, a home run and four RBI.
• Jean Segura is batting .289 with four doubles, six home runs and 10 walks.
• Segura is currently 48th in homers and 105th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Rhys Hoskins is batting .223 with eight doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 19 walks.
• Nicholas Castellanos has 11 doubles, five home runs and 14 walks while batting .249.

Betting Tips for Mets vs. Phillies

We have the Phillies on the moneyline at +120 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after analyzing all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.