Braves vs. Marlins Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/28/2022

The Miami Marlins (18-25) will try to end their three-game losing streak when they visit the Atlanta Braves (22-24) on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET. Bookmakers consider the Braves to be -121 favorites for the contest, while the Marlins are +102 underdogs looking for the upset. Tucker Davidson starts for Atlanta while Sandy Alcantara is Miami’s starter for the contest.

Braves vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Marlins

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+102) and Over (8.5)

Braves vs. Marlins Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Tucker Davidson
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara
• Game Day: Saturday, May 28, 2022
• Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Stadium: Truist Park

Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Tucker Davidson

• Davidson (1-1) takes the mound for the Braves to make his third start this season.
• In his most recent time out on Monday, the lefty tossed 2 2/3 innings against the Philadelphia Phillies, giving up five earned runs while surrendering four hits.
• In three appearances this season, he has put up an 8.71 ERA and averages 6.1 strikeouts per nine innings while opposing batters are hitting .279 against him.
• He will face off against a Marlins offense that ranks 20th in MLB with 346 total hits (on a .240 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .389 (14th in MLB) with 43 total home runs (16th in MLB).

Marlins Starter Sandy Alcantara

• The Marlins’ Alcantara (4-2) will make his 10th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up no earned runs and allowed six hits in nine innings pitched against the Atlanta Braves on Sunday.
• The 26-year-old has an ERA of 2.11 and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .201 in nine games this season.
• He’s going for his fourth quality start in a row.
• Alcantara will look to pitch five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
• The Braves have scored 191 runs this season, which ranks 15th in MLB. They are batting .230 for the campaign with 57 home runs, fifth in the league.
• The right-hander has allowed the Braves to go 6-for-33 with three doubles in nine innings this season.
• Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 26-year-old’s 2.11 ERA ranks ninth, 1.073 WHIP ranks 23rd, and 7.4 K/9 ranks 37th.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Braves have been favored 28 times and won 15, or 53.6%, of those games.
• This season, Atlanta has won 14 of its 25 games, or 56%, when favored by at least -121 on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 54.8% chance to win.
• So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 26 of their 46 games with a total.
• In 46 games with a spread this season, the Braves are 21-25-0 ATS.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 22 games this year and have walked away with the win seven times (31.8%) in those games.
• This year, Miami has won four of 16 games when listed as at least +102 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 49.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Miami and their opponents have gone over in 21 of their 43 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Marlins have an against the spread record of 22-21-0 in 43 games with a line this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ozzie Albies is hitting .246 with nine doubles, six home runs and 12 walks.
• Of all batters in the majors, Albies’ home run total places him 49th, and his RBI tally puts him 56th.
• Matt Olson is batting .247 with 18 doubles, five home runs and 32 walks.
• Among all MLB hitters, Olson ranks 75th in homers and 135th in RBI.
• Austin Riley has launched a team-high 10 homers.
• Riley is on a five-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .400 with a double, two home runs, a walk and three RBI.
• Dansby Swanson has 23 RBI while hitting .258. Both pace his team.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Marlins are lead in runs batted in by Jazz Chisholm with a mark of 27, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .290.
• Chisholm is 43rd in homers and 21st in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Jorge Soler has hit a team-high nine home runs.
• Soler is 19th among all batters in the big leagues in home runs, and 56th in RBI.
• Jesus Aguilar is hitting .266 with six doubles, six home runs and 14 walks.
• Garrett Cooper is batting .270 with 10 doubles, three home runs and 14 walks.

Betting Tips for Braves vs. Marlins

Our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +102 after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 8.5 runs.