Mets vs. Phillies Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/29/2022

The Philadelphia Phillies (21-26 look to avoid the sweep when they visit the New York Mets (31-17) in the final game of a three-game set. Sportsbooks have listed the Mets as -115 favorites, while the Phillies are -104 underdogs to pick up a win. New York’s Chris Bassitt and Philadelphia’s Zack Wheeler have been named the starters for this contest.

Mets vs. Phillies Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Phillies

Our computer pick: Philadelphia Phillies (-104) and Under (7.5)

Mets vs. Phillies Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt
• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler
• Game Day: Sunday, May 29, 2022
• Game Time: 7:08 PM ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Chris Bassitt

• Bassitt gets the start for the Mets, his 10th of the season. He is 4-2 with a 3.91 ERA and 53 strikeouts in 53 innings pitched.
• In his last time out on Wednesday, the righty tossed 4 1/3 innings against the San Francisco Giants, giving up eight earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
• In nine games this season, the 33-year-old has an ERA of 3.91, with 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .238 against him.
• Bassitt has collected four quality starts this season.
• Bassitt is looking to pick up his ninth start of five or more innings this year in this matchup.
• He meets a Phillies offense that ranks eighth in the league with 212 runs while batting .249 as a squad. It has a collective .407 slugging percentage (fourth in MLB action) and has hit a total of 52 home runs (ninth in MLB).
• Bassitt has thrown 5 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run on five hits while striking out four against the Phillies this season.
• This season, the 33-year-old ranks 37th in ERA (3.91), 33rd in WHIP (1.208), and 21st in K/9 (9.0) among qualifying pitchers.

Phillies Starter Zack Wheeler

• The Phillies will send Wheeler (3-3) to the mound for his ninth start this season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Monday, when he threw 6 2/3 innings against the Atlanta Braves, giving up two earned runs while allowing eight hits.
• The 31-year-old has pitched in eight games this season with an ERA of 3.38, a 5.1 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.147.
• He’s looking to extend his two-game quality start streak.
• Wheeler has pitched five or more innings in six straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Mets have scored 238 runs this season, which ranks second in MLB. They are batting .262 for the campaign with 41 home runs, 20th in the league.
• The right-hander has faced the Mets one time this season, allowing them to go 2-for-16 with a home run and an RBI in 4 2/3 innings.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have been favorites in 41 games this season and won 27 (65.9%) of those contests.
• New York is 26-13 this season when entering a game favored by -115 or more on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 53.5% chance to win.
• New York and its opponents have hit the over in 24 of their 50 games with a total this season.
• The Mets are 29-19-0 against the spread in their 48 chances this season.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have been underdogs in 21 games this season and have come away with the win eight times (38.1%) in those contests.
• Philadelphia has a win-loss record of 8-12 when favored by -104 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 51% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Contests with Philadelphia have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 25 of 47 chances this season.
• The Phillies have posted a record of 23-24-0 against the spread this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Francisco Lindor has eight doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 24 walks while hitting .260.
• Among all MLB hitters, Lindor is 63rd in batting average, 42nd in on-base percentage, and 39th in slugging.
• Lindor brings a hitting streak of six games into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is hitting .389 with two doubles, two triples, two home runs, seven walks and 15 RBI.
• Pete Alonso has put his power on display as he paces his team with 12 home runs and 46 runs batted in.
• Alonso is fifth in home runs in baseball, and second in RBI.
• Alonso carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with a double, two home runs, a walk and nine RBI.
• Jeff McNeil has put up a team-high batting average of .319.
• McNeil is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .438 with a double, two home runs, three walks and five RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo has eight doubles, four triples, three home runs and 23 walks while hitting .293.
• Nimmo is riding a 10-game hitting streak into this one. During his last 10 games he is hitting .293 with two doubles, two triples, three walks and five RBI.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryce Harper leads the lineup with a batting average of .317, while leading the Phillies in home runs, with 10 and runs batted in with 32.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Harper’s home run total ranks 13th and his RBI tally is 12th.
• Harper has collected a hit in six games in a row. In his last 10 games he is hitting .432 with six doubles, three home runs, two walks and 10 RBI.
• Jean Segura is batting .276 with four doubles, six home runs and 10 walks.
• Segura is 50th in home runs and 100th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .258 with 12 doubles, five home runs and 14 walks.
• Rhys Hoskins has eight doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 21 walks while batting .220.

Betting Tips for Mets vs. Phillies

We have the Phillies on the moneyline at -104 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going under the total of 7.5 runs.