Padres vs. Pirates Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/29/2022

The San Diego Padres (29-17) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (19-26) meet in the rubber match of a three-game series on Sunday at 4:10 PM ET. The Padres are -206 favorites on the moneyline to win the series over the Pirates (+174). San Diego’s MacKenzie Gore and Pittsburgh’s Roansy Contreras have been named the starters for this contest.

Padres vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Pirates

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+174) and Under (7.5)

Padres vs. Pirates Game Info

• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore
• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: Roansy Contreras
• Game Day: Sunday, May 29, 2022
• Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
• Location: San Diego, California
• Stadium: PETCO Park

San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Padres Starter MacKenzie Gore

• Gore (3-1 with a 2.06 ERA and 38 strikeouts in 35 innings pitched) gets the start for the Padres, his seventh of the season.
• The left-hander’s most recent time out was on Sunday against the San Francisco Giants, when he tossed six innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing three hits.
• The 23-year-old has an ERA of 2.06, with 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings, in seven games this season. Opposing hitters have a .228 batting average against him.
• Gore is trying to record his second quality start of the year.
• Gore is looking to pick up his seventh start of five or more innings this season in this matchup.
• He will take the mound against a Pirates offense that is hitting .223 as a unit (27th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .352 (27th in MLB) with 36 total home runs (25th in MLB).

Pirates Starter Roansy Contreras

• Contreras will get the start for the Pirates, his second of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday against the Colorado Rockies, throwing five innings without allowing a run.
• He has an ERA of 2.13, a 3 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of .947 in four games this season.
• The Padres rank 21st in MLB with a .232 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 26th in the league (.354) and 33 home runs.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• The Padres have entered the game as favorites 31 times this season and won 20, or 64.5%, of those games.
• This season, San Diego has won two of its three games when favored by at least -206 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 67.3%.
• San Diego’s games have gone over the total in 21 of their 47 chances.
• The Padres are 24-23-0 against the spread in their 47 chances this season.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have won in 13, or 38.2%, of the 34 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This year, Pittsburgh has won three of seven games when listed as at least +174 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 36.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Pittsburgh and their opponents have hit the over in 17 of their 45 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Pirates are 22-23-0 against the spread in their 45 games that had a posted line this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Manny Machado has a team-high batting average of .357, and paces the Padres in home runs (eight) and runs batted in (27).
• Machado is 33rd in homers and 23rd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Jurickson Profar is hitting .215 with 10 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 27 walks.
• Profar ranks 75th in home runs and 90th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Profar carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .158 with a double, three walks and an RBI.
• Eric Hosmer is hitting .327 with nine doubles, four home runs and 17 walks.
• Hosmer is on a six-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last 10 games he is hitting .256 with a double and four walks.
• Ha-Seong Kim is batting .222 with eight doubles, a triple, four home runs and 15 walks.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ke’Bryan Hayes paces the Pirates with a team-high batting average of .283.
• In all of MLB, Hayes ranks 277th in homers and 152nd in RBI.
• Ben Gamel has driven in the most runs for the Pirates with 17 runs batted in.
• Gamel ranks 156th in home runs and 123rd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with six long balls.
• Michael Chavis has five doubles, two triples, four home runs and five walks while batting .286.

Betting Tips for Padres vs. Pirates

We have the Pirates on the moneyline at +174 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after digging through all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going under the total of 7.5 runs.