Reds vs. Nationals Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/5/2022

by | Jun 5, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Reds vs. Nationals Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/5/2022

The Washington Nationals (20-35) will lean on Juan Soto, following a two-homer game, to lead them in a matchup with the Cincinnati Reds (18-34) on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET. The Nationals are +147 underdogs for the contest, according to oddsmakers. Luis Castillo will get the ball for Cincinnati while Washington counter with Patrick Corbin.

Reds vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Reds vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Reds -170 +147 9 -117 -104 -1.5 +119 -142

Computer Predictions for Reds vs. Nationals

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+147) and Over (9)

Reds vs. Nationals Game Info

  • Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Luis Castillo
  • Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin
  • Game Day: Sunday, June 5, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:40 PM ET
  • Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
  • Stadium: Great American Ball Park

Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Castillo Corbin
5 GS 11
2-2 W-L 1-8
3.37 ERA 6.96
26.2 IP 54.1
8 BB 24
28 SO 48

Reds Starter Luis Castillo

  • Castillo (2-2) takes the mound for the Reds in his sixth start of the season. He’s put together a 3.37 ERA in 26 2/3 innings pitched, with 28 strikeouts.
  • The right-hander’s last time out was on Tuesday against the Boston Red Sox, when he went six scoreless innings while allowing just one hit.
  • The 29-year-old has a 3.37 ERA and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings in five games this season, while allowing a batting average of .196 to his opponents.
  • Castillo is looking to pick up his third quality start of the season in this outing.
  • Castillo will try to build upon a five-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.1 frames per appearance).
  • He will take the hill against a Nationals offense that ranks third in MLB with 470 total hits (on a .254 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .374 (21st in MLB) with 40 total home runs (26th in MLB).

Nationals Starter Patrick Corbin

  • The Nationals will hand the ball to Corbin (1-8) for his 12th start of the season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up seven earned runs and allowed 12 hits in 4 1/3 innings against the New York Mets.
  • The 32-year-old has an ERA of 6.96 and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .313 in 11 games this season.
  • He has started 11 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in three of them.
  • Corbin has started 11 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings seven times. He averages 4.3 innings per appearance.
  • The Reds have scored 223 runs this season, which ranks 16th in MLB. They are batting .228 for the campaign with 49 home runs, 20th in the league.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Reds have entered the game as favorites 10 times this season and won three of those games.
  • Cincinnati has not entered a game this season as a bigger favorite on the moneyline than the -170 odds on them winning this game.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 63% chance to win.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 29 of their 53 opportunities.
  • The Reds are 24-29-0 against the spread this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Nationals have won in 15, or 32.6%, of the 46 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Washington has a win-loss record of 8-14 when favored by +147 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 40.5% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 29 of their 56 opportunities.
  • The Nationals are 22-34-0 against the spread in their 56 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Brandon Drury’s nine round-trippers in 2022 are the most on the Reds. He’s also driven in 27 runs while hitting .252.
  • Including all MLB hitters, Drury ranks 82nd in batting average, 86th in on-base percentage, and 27th in slugging.
  • Drury has collected a hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with a home run, a walk and an RBI.
  • Kyle Farmer has 30 RBI while hitting .265. Both pace his team.
  • Farmer is 101st in homers and 26th in RBI on the season.
  • Farmer carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .353 with a home run, two walks and five RBI.
  • Tommy Pham has six doubles, six home runs and 27 walks while batting .233.
  • Pham will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .353 with a double, a home run, three walks and seven RBI.
  • Tyler Stephenson is hitting .283 with six doubles, four home runs and 10 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Brandon Drury 44 .252 .317 .479 9 27 41
Kyle Farmer 44 .265 .322 .432 5 30 41
Tommy Pham 45 .233 .339 .384 6 20 37
Tyler Stephenson 38 .283 .343 .425 4 24 36
Mike Moustakas 39 .203 .318 .312 3 11 26

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Soto has swatted a team- leading 12 long balls.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Soto is 13th in home runs and 112th in RBI.
  • Soto takes a hitting streak of two games into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .150 with three home runs, three walks and five RBI.
  • Josh Bell has 29 RBI while batting .303. Each pace his team.
  • Bell is 101st in homers and 30th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Nelson Cruz has six doubles, five home runs and 23 walks while hitting .251.
  • Cesar Hernandez is hitting .274 with 14 doubles, a triple and 15 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Juan Soto 55 .222 .366 .460 12 21 44
Josh Bell 54 .303 .378 .424 5 29 60
Nelson Cruz 50 .251 .337 .366 5 28 46
César Hernández 55 .274 .324 .343 0 14 63
Maikel Franco 55 .270 .294 .379 3 26 57

Betting Tips for Reds vs. Nationals

We have the Nationals on the moneyline at +147 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 9 runs.

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