Padres vs. Mets Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/7/2022

by | Jun 7, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Padres vs. Mets Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/7/2022

Coming off of a cycle in his last game, Eduardo Escobar leads the New York Mets (38-19) into action as +107 underdogs against the San Diego Padres (33-22). Action gets underway from PETCO Park at 9:40 PM ET on Tuesday. Yu Darvish will get the ball for San Diego while New York counter with Taijuan Walker.

Padres vs. Mets Spread and Betting Line

Padres vs Mets Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Padres -126 +107 7.5 -116 -104 -1.5 +164 -197

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Mets

Our computer pick: New York Mets (+107) and Over (7.5)

Padres vs. Mets Game Info

  • San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Yu Darvish
  • New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker
  • Game Day: Tuesday, June 7, 2022
  • Game Time: 9:40 PM ET
  • Location: San Diego, California
  • Stadium: PETCO Park

San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Pitching Matchup

Darvish Walker
10 GS 8
4-3 W-L 3-1
4.03 ERA 2.88
60.1 IP 40.2
15 BB 13
48 SO 21

Padres Starter Yu Darvish

  • Darvish makes the start for the Padres, his 11th of the season. He is 4-3 with a 4.03 ERA and 48 strikeouts in 60 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty last pitched on Wednesday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when he went 7 2/3 innings, allowing five earned runs while giving up seven hits.
  • The 35-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.03, with 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings, in 10 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .229 batting average against him.
  • Darvish is trying to collect his eighth quality start of the season in this outing.
  • Darvish is looking for his ninth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.0 innings per appearance on the mound.
  • The opposing Mets offense has a collective .266 batting average, and is first in the league with 517 total hits and first in MLB action with 297 runs scored. It has the sixth-ranked slugging percentage (.411) and ranks 16th in home runs (54) in all of MLB.
  • The 35-year-old ranks 47th in ERA (4.03), 26th in WHIP (1.094), and 46th in K/9 (7.2) among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season.

Mets Starter Taijuan Walker

  • The Mets will send Walker (3-1) to the mound for his ninth start this season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Friday, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings while giving up two earned runs on seven hits in a matchup with the Los Angeles Dodgers.
  • The 29-year-old has pitched to a 2.88 ERA this season with 4.6 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.9 walks per nine across eight games.
  • In eight starts this season, he’s earned two quality starts.
  • Walker will look to pitch five or more innings for the sixth start in a row.
  • The Padres have scored 233 runs this season, which ranks 16th in MLB. They have 432 hits, 15th in baseball, with 42 home runs (26th in the league).

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Padres have won 21, or 60%, of the 35 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • San Diego is 17-9 this season when entering a game favored by -126 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Padres have a 55.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • San Diego’s games have gone over the total in 25 of their 56 chances.
  • The Padres are 29-27-0 against the spread in their 56 chances this season.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Mets have been underdogs in 15 games this season and have come away with the win nine times (60%) in those contests.
  • This season, New York has been victorious five times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +107 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Mets have an implied victory probability of 48.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Contests with New York have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 29 of 59 chances this season.
  • The Mets have posted a record of 36-21-0 against the spread this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Manny Machado is the bat to watch in the Padres lineup, leading the team in batting average (.327), home runs (9), and RBI (32).
  • Machado ranks 36th in home runs and 20th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
  • Jurickson Profar is batting .245 with 12 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 27 walks.
  • Profar is 72nd in homers in the majors, and 43rd in RBI.
  • Profar has two games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .348 with a double and five RBI.
  • Eric Hosmer has 11 doubles, four home runs and 18 walks while batting .290.
  • Jake Cronenworth is batting .214 with nine doubles, two triples, five home runs and 23 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Manny Machado 53 .327 .402 .540 9 32 66
Jurickson Profar 54 .245 .335 .402 6 28 50
Eric Hosmer 51 .290 .351 .409 4 25 56
Jake Cronenworth 54 .214 .300 .348 5 26 45
Ha-Seong Kim 48 .210 .289 .341 4 19 35

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Pete Alonso paces the Mets in home runs (16) and runs batted in (54).
  • In all of the majors, Alonso is second in home runs and first in RBI.
  • Alonso carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .273 with a double, three home runs, a walk and seven RBI.
  • Francisco Lindor is hitting .258 with nine doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 25 walks.
  • Lindor ranks 36th overall in homers and fourth in RBI this season.
  • Starling Marte is hitting .274 with 10 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and eight walks.
  • Jeff McNeil leads the Mets with a .314 batting average.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Pete Alonso 57 .282 .360 .546 16 54 61
Francisco Lindor 56 .258 .339 .442 9 45 56
Starling Marte 49 .274 .312 .439 7 33 58
Jeff McNeil 53 .314 .366 .447 3 27 59
Brandon Nimmo 49 .271 .371 .409 3 18 49

Betting Tips for Padres vs. Mets

Our best bet is the Mets on the moneyline at +107 after taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 7.5 runs.

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