Brewers vs. Phillies Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/9/2022

Following a four-hit effort last time out, Kyle Schwarber leads the Philadelphia Phillies (27-29) into action as +144 underdogs against the Milwaukee Brewers (33-25). First pitch from American Family Field at 2:10 PM ET on Thursday. Corbin Burnes will get the ball for Milwaukee while Philadelphia counter with Zach Eflin.

Brewers vs. Phillies Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Phillies

Our computer pick: Philadelphia Phillies (+144) and Over (7.5)

Brewers vs. Phillies Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes
• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Zach Eflin
• Game Day: Thursday, June 9, 2022
• Game Time: 2:10 PM ET
• Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• Stadium: American Family Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Matchup

Brewers Starter Corbin Burnes

• Burnes gets the start for the Brewers, his 12th of the season. He is 3-3 with a 2.50 ERA and 84 strikeouts through 68 1/3 innings pitched.
• His last appearance came on Saturday against the San Diego Padres, when the righty went 3 2/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while allowing eight hits.
• In 11 games this season, the 27-year-old has amassed a 2.50 ERA and 11.1 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .200 to opposing batters.
• Burnes has registered eight quality starts this season.
• Burnes has put up 10 starts this year in which he pitched five or more innings.
• He meets a Phillies offense that ranks sixth in the league with 269 runs while batting .248 as a squad. It has a collective .420 slugging percentage (fourth in MLB play) and has hit a total of 71 home runs (fifth in MLB).
• Among pitchers who qualify in MLB play this season, the 27-year-old ranks 12th in ERA (2.50), seventh in WHIP (.922), and fifth in K/9 (11.1).

Phillies Starter Zach Eflin

• Eflin (2-4) will take to the mound for the Phillies and make his 10th start of the season.
• The right-hander allowed five hits in 8 2/3 scoreless innings pitched against the Los Angeles Angels on Friday.
• The 28-year-old has pitched in nine games this season with an ERA of 4.24, a 4.5 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.157.
• In nine starts this season, he’s earned four quality starts.
• Eflin will look to pitch five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
• The Brewers have scored 249 runs this season, which ranks 13th in MLB. They have 438 hits, 20th in baseball, with 72 home runs (fourth in the league).

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Brewers have been favorites in 49 games this season and won 28 (57.1%) of those contests.
• Milwaukee has a record of 13-7, a 65% win rate, when favored by -168 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 62.7% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
• Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in 27 of their 58 chances.
• The Brewers are 25-33-0 ATS in their 58 games with a spread this season.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have been chosen as underdogs in 23 games this year and have walked away with the win nine times (39.1%) in those games.
• Philadelphia has a win-loss record of 2-3 when favored by +144 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 41% chance of pulling out a win.
• Philadelphia and their opponents have hit the over in 32 of their 56 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Phillies have an against the spread record of 29-27-0 in 56 games with a line this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rowdy Tellez’s 10 long balls and 37 RBI both lead the Brewers, in addition to his team-high .259 average.
• Tellez’s home runs rank him 28th in MLB, and he ranks 15th in RBI.
• Tellez carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with a double, two walks and an RBI.
• Kolten Wong is batting .228 with eight doubles, three triples, five home runs and 21 walks.
• Wong is 115th in home runs and 167th in RBI on the year.
• Christian Yelich is batting .224 with nine doubles, two triples, five home runs and 26 walks.
• Yelich will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .158 with a walk.
• Hunter Renfroe has seven doubles, nine home runs and nine walks while hitting .260.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryce Harper leads the Phillies in home runs (14), runs batted in (44) and has a team-best batting average of .306.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Harper’s home run total ranks seventh and his RBI tally ranks seventh.
• Harper carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with a double, four home runs, three walks and 12 RBI.
• Schwarber has shown his power as he leads his team with 14 home runs.
• Schwarber is currently seventh in home runs and 48th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .248 with 13 doubles, seven home runs and 16 walks.
• Rhys Hoskins is batting .220 with nine doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 24 walks.

Betting Tips for Brewers vs. Phillies

Our best bet is the Phillies on the moneyline at +144 after digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 7.5 runs.