Reds vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/9/2022

Led by Brandon Drury (two-game homer streak), the Cincinnati Reds (20-36) are favorites versus the Arizona Diamondbacks (27-31) Thursday at 12:35 PM ET. Bookmakers have named the Reds as -138 favorites for the game. Tyler Mahle takes the mound for Cincinnati while Zach Davies is Arizona’s starter for the contest.

Reds vs. Diamondbacks Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Reds vs. Diamondbacks

Our computer pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (+117) and Over (9.5)

Reds vs. Diamondbacks Game Info

• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle
• Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Zach Davies
• Game Day: Thursday, June 9, 2022
• Game Time: 12:35 PM ET
• Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
• Stadium: Great American Ball Park

Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

Reds Starter Tyler Mahle

• Mahle (2-5) takes the mound for the Reds in his 13th start of the season. He’s put together a 5.43 ERA in 59 2/3 innings pitched, with 64 strikeouts.
• In his most recent time out on Saturday, the right-hander went 6 2/3 innings against the Washington Nationals, giving up three earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
• The 27-year-old has amassed an ERA of 5.43, with 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in 12 games this season. Opponents are batting .240 against him.
• Mahle is looking to continue a second-game quality start streak in this game.
• Mahle will try to build upon a three-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.3 innings per outing).
• He will match up with a Diamondbacks offense that ranks 27th in MLB with 406 total hits (on a .216 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .382 (20th in MLB) with 69 total home runs (seventh in MLB).
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 27-year-old’s 5.43 ERA ranks 57th, 1.391 WHIP ranks 53rd, and 9.7 K/9 ranks 12th.

Diamondbacks Starter Zach Davies

• The Diamondbacks’ Davies (2-3) will make his 12th start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he allowed three hits in 7 2/3 scoreless innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
• The 29-year-old has an ERA of 4.18, a 2.048 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.250 in 11 games this season.
• He has two quality starts in 11 chances this season.
• Davies will look to pitch five or more innings for the third start in a row.
• The Reds rank 14th in MLB with 248 runs scored this season. They have a .236 batting average this campaign with 55 home runs (18th in the league).

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Reds have won five out of the 14 games, or 35.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
• This season, Cincinnati has won three of its four games when favored by at least -138 on the moneyline.
• The Reds have a 58% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• So far this season, Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 30 of their 57 games with a total.
• The Reds have an ATS record of 26-31-0 in 57 games with a spread this season.

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

• The Diamondbacks have come away with 23 wins in the 53 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Arizona has a mark of 14-24 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +117 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 46.1% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Arizona’s games have gone over the total in 27 of their 63 opportunities.
• The Diamondbacks have posted a record of 37-26-0 against the spread this season.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Drury leads the Reds with 11 big flies on the year. He’s also hitting .260 with 30 RBI.
• Drury’s home runs place him 22nd in the majors, and he ranks 38th in RBI.
• Drury takes a hitting streak of seven games into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is batting .333 with three home runs, a walk and four RBI.
• Kyle Farmer has 32 runs batted in while batting .266. Both lead his team.
• Farmer is 115th in homers and 26th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Tommy Pham is batting .241 with seven doubles, seven home runs and 29 walks.
• Tyler Stephenson is batting .309 with eight doubles, five home runs and 11 walks.
• Stephenson brings a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .450 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and seven RBI.

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

• Christian Walker paces the Diamondbacks in home runs (15) and runs batted in (28).
• Walker is fifth in home runs and 55th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Ketel Marte is batting .268 to lead the lineup.
• Marte is 154th in home runs and 132nd in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Daulton Varsho is batting .243 with 10 doubles, eight home runs and 17 walks.
• David Peralta has 10 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 19 walks while hitting .233.

Betting Tips for Reds vs. Diamondbacks

After looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Diamondbacks on the moneyline at +117. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 9.5 runs.