Brewers vs. Nationals Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/10/2022

by | Jun 10, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Brewers vs. Nationals Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/10/2022

One team will end a losing skid when the 33-26 Milwaukee Brewers (six-game losing streak) and the 21-38 Washington Nationals (three-game losing streak) meet Friday at 7:05 PM ET. The Brewers have been set as -165 favorites by bookmakers for the contest at Nationals Park. Milwaukee’s Aaron Ashby and Washington’s Erick Fedde have been named the starters for this contest.

Brewers vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Brewers vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Brewers -165 +141 8.5 -111 -109 -1.5 +101 -121

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Nationals

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+141) and Over (8.5)

Brewers vs. Nationals Game Info

  • Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Aaron Ashby
  • Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Erick Fedde
  • Game Day: Friday, June 10, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • Location: Washington D.C.
  • Stadium: Nationals Park

Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Ashby Fedde
6 GS 11
1-4 W-L 3-4
3.13 ERA 4.88
46.0 IP 51.2
22 BB 25
60 SO 43

Brewers Starter Aaron Ashby

  • Ashby (1-4 with a 3.13 ERA and 60 strikeouts in 46 innings pitched) makes the start for the Brewers, his seventh of the season.
  • In his most recent time out on Saturday against the San Diego Padres, the lefty went 6 2/3 innings, allowing four earned runs while surrendering six hits.
  • The 24-year-old has an ERA of 3.13, with 11.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in 12 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .207 batting average against him.
  • Ashby is trying to record his second quality start of the year in this outing.
  • Ashby is seeking his fourth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 3.3 innings per appearance on the mound.
  • He will match up with a Nationals offense that ranks fourth in MLB with 501 total hits (on a .252 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .370 (23rd in MLB) with 42 total home runs (27th in MLB).
  • Ashby has pitched one inning without giving up a hit or an earned run while striking out one against the Nationals this season.

Nationals Starter Erick Fedde

  • Fedde (3-4) will take to the mound for the Nationals and make his 12th start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw 4 2/3 innings against the Cincinnati Reds, giving up four earned runs while allowing seven hits.
  • The 29-year-old has pitched to a 4.88 ERA this season with 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 4.4 walks per nine across 11 games.
  • He has two quality starts in 11 chances this season.
  • In 11 starts this season, Fedde has lasted five or more innings six times, with an average of 4.2 innings per appearance.
  • The Brewers rank 12th in MLB with 252 runs scored this season. They have a .229 batting average this campaign with 74 home runs (third in the league).
  • This season, the right-hander has pitched against the Brewers in one game, and they have gone 4-for-21 with a double, a home run and two RBI over 5 2/3 innings.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Brewers have won 28, or 56%, of the 50 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Milwaukee is 14-8 this season when entering a game favored by -165 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Brewers have a 62.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 28 of their 59 games with a total this season.
  • The Brewers are 25-34-0 ATS in their 59 games with a spread this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 50 games this year and have walked away with the win 16 times (32%) in those games.
  • This year, Washington has won nine of 26 games when listed as at least +141 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 41.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Washington and their opponents have gone over in 31 of their 60 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • In 60 games with a line this season, the Nationals have a mark of 24-36-0 against the spread.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Rowdy Tellez paces the Brewers in home runs (10), runs batted in (37) and has put up a team-best batting average of .259.
  • Tellez ranks 28th in homers and 15th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Tellez carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .350 with two doubles, a walk and an RBI.
  • Kolten Wong has eight doubles, three triples, five home runs and 21 walks while batting .228.
  • Of all MLB batters, Wong ranks 115th in home runs and 169th in RBI.
  • Christian Yelich is hitting .230 with nine doubles, two triples, five home runs and 27 walks.
  • Yelich has at least one base hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with two walks.
  • Hunter Renfroe has hit 10 home runs to pace his team.
  • Renfroe has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .188 with a home run and an RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Rowdy Tellez 56 .259 .321 .482 10 37 51
Kolten Wong 52 .228 .321 .389 5 17 41
Christian Yelich 56 .230 .321 .364 5 21 48
Hunter Renfroe 42 .260 .295 .500 10 20 40
Willy Adames 37 .203 .295 .464 10 25 28

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Juan Soto has racked up a team-high 12 home runs.
  • Among all batters in MLB, Soto’s home run total is 16th and his RBI tally ranks 102nd.
  • Soto has collected a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .200 with a double, two home runs, two walks and six RBI.
  • Josh Bell has 31 runs batted in while batting .305. Each is tops on the club.
  • Bell ranks 115th in homers and 31st in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Nelson Cruz has seven doubles, five home runs and 24 walks while hitting .247.
  • Cesar Hernandez is hitting .260 with 14 doubles, a triple and 17 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Juan Soto 59 .216 .360 .441 12 23 46
Josh Bell 58 .305 .378 .423 5 31 65
Nelson Cruz 53 .247 .332 .361 5 29 48
César Hernández 58 .260 .314 .326 0 15 63
Maikel Franco 58 .270 .293 .392 4 27 60

Betting Tips for Brewers vs. Nationals

After looking at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Nationals on the moneyline at +141. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

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