Yankees vs. Cubs Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/11/2022

by | Jun 11, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Yankees vs. Cubs Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/11/2022

The Chicago Cubs (23-34) will try to end their four-game losing streak when they visit the New York Yankees (42-16) on Saturday at 7:15 PM ET. Bookmakers consider the Yankees to be -258 favorites for the contest, while the Cubs are +211 underdogs looking for the upset. New York’s Jordan Montgomery gets the start, and he’ll go against Chicago’s Matt Swarmer.

Yankees vs. Cubs Spread and Betting Line

Yankees vs Cubs Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Yankees -258 +211 9 -102 -118 -1.5 -126 +104

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Cubs

Our computer pick: Chicago Cubs (+211) and Under (9)

Yankees vs. Cubs Game Info

  • New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery
  • Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Matt Swarmer
  • Game Day: Saturday, June 11, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:15 PM ET
  • Location: The Bronx, New York
  • Stadium: Yankee Stadium

New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Matchup

Montgomery Swarmer
11 GS 2
1-1 W-L 1-0
3.02 ERA 1.50
59.2 IP 12.0
10 BB 3
46 SO 11

Yankees Starter Jordan Montgomery

  • Montgomery gets the start for the Yankees, his 12th of the season. He is 1-1 with a 3.02 ERA and 46 strikeouts in 59 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent outing on Sunday against the Detroit Tigers, the lefty tossed 6 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs while surrendering five hits.
  • The 29-year-old has put up a 3.02 ERA and 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings across 11 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .226 to his opponents.
  • Montgomery is aiming for his fourth straight quality start.
  • Montgomery is looking for his fifth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.1 frames per appearance on the mound.
  • The opposing Cubs offense has a collective .243 batting average, and is 13th in the league with 468 total hits and 17th in MLB play with 249 runs scored. It has the 13th-ranked slugging percentage (.395) and ranks 15th in home runs (58) in all of MLB.
  • This season, the 29-year-old ranks 23rd in ERA (3.02), 14th in WHIP (1.006), and 50th in K/9 (6.9) among pitchers who qualify.

Cubs Starter Matt Swarmer

  • Swarmer heads to the mound for the Cubs to make his third start of the season, seeking his second win.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday against the St. Louis Cardinals, throwing 6 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run.
  • He has pitched to a 1.50 ERA this season with 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.3 walks per nine across two games.
  • If he completes six or more innings with three or fewer earned runs allowed, he’ll earn his third quality start in a row.
  • Swarmer has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • The Yankees rank fifth in MLB with 281 runs scored this season. They have a .244 batting average this campaign with 88 home runs (first in the league).

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Yankees have been favored 53 times and won 38, or 71.7%, of those games.
  • New York has a record of 5-1 when favored by -258 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Yankees have a 72.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • New York and its opponents have hit the over in 25 of their 57 games with a total this season.
  • The Yankees have an ATS record of 29-28-0 in 57 games with a spread this season.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Cubs have been chosen as underdogs in 39 games this year and have walked away with the win 16 times (41%) in those games.
  • Chicago has played as an underdog of +211 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cubs have a 32.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Contests with Chicago have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 29 of 57 chances this season.
  • In 57 games with a line this season, the Cubs have a mark of 31-26-0 against the spread.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Aaron Judge has a team-high batting average of .308, while leading the Yankees in home runs (22) and runs batted in (45).
  • In all of Major League Baseball, Judge ranks first in home runs and fifth in RBI.
  • Judge has collected a hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .238 with a double, a home run, five walks and three RBI.
  • Anthony Rizzo is hitting .211 with 10 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 25 walks.
  • Including all major league hitters, Rizzo ranks 11th in homers and 11th in RBI.
  • DJ LeMahieu is hitting .266 with 12 doubles, five home runs and 21 walks.
  • LeMahieu will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .286 with a home run, four walks and four RBI.
  • Gleyber Torres is hitting .247 with seven doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 12 walks.
  • Torres is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .222 with a home run, four walks and two RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Aaron Judge 56 .308 .386 .664 22 45 66
Anthony Rizzo 57 .211 .316 .469 14 39 44
DJ LeMahieu 50 .266 .347 .410 5 27 50
Gleyber Torres 53 .247 .294 .478 11 27 45
Giancarlo Stanton 46 .265 .335 .506 12 36 44

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Willson Contreras leads the team in batting average with a mark of .273.
  • Contreras ranks 33rd in homers and 109th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
  • Contreras has collected a hit in four straight games. In his last five games he is batting .238 with a double, a home run, four walks and two RBI.
  • Ian Happ has 12 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 32 walks while hitting .267.
  • Happ is 92nd in home runs and 55th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
  • Patrick Wisdom has been solid source of run production for the Cubs with 12 long balls and 31 runs batted in.
  • Frank Schwindel is hitting .233 with 10 doubles, eight home runs and 14 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Willson Contreras 48 .273 .396 .517 10 23 47
Ian Happ 55 .267 .372 .439 6 29 50
Patrick Wisdom 54 .219 .307 .469 12 31 42
Frank Schwindel 55 .233 .279 .398 8 30 48
Nico Hoerner 42 .283 .311 .393 3 16 41

Betting Tips for Yankees vs. Cubs

After taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Cubs on the moneyline at +211. Our computer picks see the scoring going under the total of 9 runs.

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