Brewers vs. Nationals Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/11/2022

The Washington Nationals (22-38) will look to Nelson Cruz, after his four-hit game last time out, to lead them in a matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers (33-27) on Saturday at 4:05 PM ET. The Nationals are +143 underdogs for the contest, according to sportsbooks. Milwaukee’s Eric Lauer and Washington’s Patrick Corbin have been named the starters for this contest.

Brewers vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Nationals

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+143) and Over (9)

Brewers vs. Nationals Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Eric Lauer
• Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin
• Game Day: Saturday, June 11, 2022
• Game Time: 4:05 PM ET
• Location: Washington D.C.
• Stadium: Nationals Park

Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Brewers Starter Eric Lauer

• Lauer (5-1 with a 2.38 ERA and 65 strikeouts in 56 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Brewers, his 11th of the season.
• The lefty’s last appearance was on Sunday against the San Diego Padres, when he went 6 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing six hits.
• The 27-year-old has put up an ERA of 2.38, with 10.3 strikeouts per nine innings, in 10 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .217 batting average against him.
• Lauer is trying to record his seventh quality start of the season in this game.
• Lauer heads into this game with eight outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
• He will take the hill against a Nationals squad that is hitting .256 as a unit (fourth in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .378 (21st in MLB) with 46 total home runs (25th in MLB).
• Lauer has pitched seven innings without giving up an earned run on five hits, while striking out five against the Nationals this season.

Nationals Starter Patrick Corbin

• The Nationals will send Corbin (2-8) to the mound for his 13th start this season.
• The left-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed nine hits in 6 2/3 innings against the Cincinnati Reds.
• The 32-year-old has an ERA of 6.71 and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .318 in 12 games this season.
• In 12 starts this season, he’s earned four quality starts.
• In 12 starts this season, Corbin has lasted five or more innings eight times, with an average of 5.0 innings per appearance.
• The Brewers have scored 257 runs this season, which ranks 13th in MLB. They have 456 hits, 20th in baseball, with 75 home runs (fourth in the league).
• The Brewers have gone 8-for-22 with two home runs and five RBI in five innings this season against the left-hander.
• Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 32-year-old’s 6.71 ERA ranks 63rd, 1.757 WHIP ranks 63rd, and 7.9 K/9 ranks 34th.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Brewers have been favorites in 51 games this season and won 28 (54.9%) of those contests.
• Milwaukee has a record of 14-9 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -165 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 62.3% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
• So far this season, Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 29 of their 60 games with a total.
• The Brewers are 25-35-0 against the spread this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 51 games this year and have walked away with the win 17 times (33.3%) in those games.
• This season, Washington has come away with a win 10 times in 27 chances when named as an underdog of at least +143 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 41.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Contests with Washington have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 32 of 61 chances this season.
• In 61 games with a line this season, the Nationals have a mark of 25-36-0 against the spread.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rowdy Tellez leads the Brewers in home runs (10), runs batted in (38) and has a team-best batting average of .258.
• Among all batters in baseball, Tellez ranks 33rd in home runs and 15th in RBI.
• Christian Yelich is hitting .234 with nine doubles, two triples, five home runs and 27 walks.
• Yelich ranks 123rd in homers and 133rd in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
• Yelich carries a four-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .333 with two walks.
• Kolten Wong has eight doubles, three triples, five home runs and 21 walks while hitting .228.
• Willy Adames’ 10 home runs lead his team.

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Juan Soto leads the Nationals with 12 home runs.
• Among all batters in MLB, Soto’s home run total is 16th and his RBI tally is 88th.
• Soto has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .158 with a double, three walks and four RBI.
• Josh Bell has a club-best 34 RBI and .307 batting average.
• Bell is 92nd in home runs and 22nd in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Nelson Cruz is batting .261 with seven doubles, six home runs and 24 walks.
• Maikel Franco is hitting .269 with 15 doubles, five home runs and eight walks.

Betting Tips for Brewers vs. Nationals

Our best bet is the Nationals on the moneyline at +143 after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 9 runs.