Mets vs. Brewers Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/14/2022

The New York Mets (40-22), led by Pete Alonso on a two-game home run streak, are -140 favorites on the moneyline to defeat the Milwaukee Brewers (34-28). First pitch is set for 7:10 PM ET Tuesday, live from Citi Field. Chris Bassitt gets the starting nod for New York while Adrian Houser is Milwaukee’s starter for the contest.

Mets vs. Brewers Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Brewers

Our computer pick: Milwaukee Brewers (+120) and Over (7.5)

Mets vs. Brewers Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt
• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Adrian Houser
• Game Day: Tuesday, June 14, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Chris Bassitt

• Bassitt (4-4 with a 4.35 ERA and 74 strikeouts in 68 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Mets, his 13th of the season.
• In his last time out on Thursday, the righty tossed 3 1/3 innings against the San Diego Padres, allowing six earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
• The 33-year-old has an ERA of 4.35, with 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in 12 games this season. Opponents are batting .237 against him.
• Bassitt has six quality starts under his belt this year.
• Bassitt has 10 starts this campaign in which he pitched five or more innings.
• He will match up with a Brewers offense that is batting .231 as a unit (25th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .398 (12th in MLB) with 80 total home runs (third in MLB).
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 33-year-old’s 4.35 ERA ranks 47th, 1.244 WHIP ranks 39th, and 9.7 K/9 ranks 15th.

Brewers Starter Adrian Houser

• The Brewers will hand the ball to Houser (3-6) for his 12th start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Thursday, when he gave up five earned runs and allowed seven hits in six innings against the Philadelphia Phillies.
• The 29-year-old has an ERA of 3.92 and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .249 in 11 games this season.
• He has started 11 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in four of them.
• Houser will look to pitch five or more innings for the third start in a row.
• The Mets are batting .264 this season, first in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .407 (10th in the league) with 59 home runs.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have been favorites in 46 games this season and won 31 (67.4%) of those contests.
• This season, New York has won 17 of its 23 games, or 73.9%, when favored by at least -140 on the moneyline.
• The Mets have a 58.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 32 of their 64 games with a total.
• The Mets are 38-24-0 ATS in their 62 games with a spread this season.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Brewers have been chosen as underdogs in nine games this year and have walked away with the win five times (55.6%) in those games.
• Milwaukee has a win-loss record of 3-1 when favored by +120 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 45.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 30 of their 62 opportunities.
• The Brewers are 26-36-0 against the spread in their 62 games that had a posted line this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Alonso has gone yard 18 times in the 2022 campaign while driving in 57 runs, both totals that lead the Mets.
• Alonso is second in home runs and second in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Alonso brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .294 with two home runs, two walks and three RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .245 with nine doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 27 walks.
• Lindor ranks 45th in homers and sixth in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Starling Marte is hitting .276 with 11 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and nine walks.
• Jeff McNeil’s .320 batting average paces his team.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rowdy Tellez has recorded a team-best batting average of .251 and paces the Brewers in runs batted in with a mark of 38.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Tellez’s home run total ranks 37th and his RBI tally ranks 17th.
• Christian Yelich is batting .242 with nine doubles, two triples, six home runs and 27 walks.
• Yelich ranks 101st among all batters in the big leagues in homers, and 133rd in RBI.
• Willy Adames has 11 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
• Jace Peterson is hitting .217 with six doubles, two triples, six home runs and 15 walks.

Betting Tips for Mets vs. Brewers

Our best bet is the Brewers on the moneyline at +120 after analyzing all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 7.5 runs.