Padres vs. Cubs Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/16/2022

The Chicago Cubs (23-39) will try to end their nine-game losing streak when they host the San Diego Padres (40-24) on Thursday at 2:20 PM ET. Oddsmakers consider the Padres to be -185 favorites for the contest, while the Cubs are +158 underdogs looking for the upset. Joe Musgrove will get the ball for San Diego while Chicago counter with Matt Swarmer.

Padres vs. Cubs Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Cubs

Our computer pick: Chicago Cubs (+158) and Over (10.5)

Padres vs. Cubs Game Info

• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Joe Musgrove
• Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Matt Swarmer
• Game Day: Thursday, June 16, 2022
• Game Time: 2:20 PM ET
• Location: Chicago, Illinois
• Stadium: Wrigley Field

San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Matchup

Padres Starter Joe Musgrove

• Musgrove gets the start for the Padres, his 12th of the season. He is 7-0 with a 1.50 ERA and 72 strikeouts through 72 innings pitched.
• In his most recent time out on Saturday, the righty tossed 6 2/3 scoreless innings against the Colorado Rockies while surrendering four hits.
• In 11 games this season, the 29-year-old has put up a 1.50 ERA and 9 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .196 to opposing hitters.
• Musgrove is seeking his 12th quality start in a row.
• Musgrove is looking for his 12th straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.2 frames per appearance on the mound.
• The opposing Cubs offense has a collective .243 batting average, and is 13th in the league with 510 total hits and 20th in MLB play with 264 runs scored. It has the 14th-ranked slugging percentage (.394) and ranks 17th in home runs (63) in all of MLB.
• Among pitchers who qualify in MLB action this season, the 29-year-old ranks second in ERA (1.50), seventh in WHIP (.931), and 22nd in K/9 (9).

Cubs Starter Matt Swarmer

• The Cubs will hand the ball to Swarmer (1-1) for his fourth start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up six earned runs and allowed seven hits in 5 2/3 innings against the New York Yankees.
• The 28-year-old has an ERA of 4.24, a 5 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.000 in three games this season.
• He has earned a quality start two times in three starts this season.
• Swarmer has three starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Padres are batting .242 this season, 15th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .375 (25th in the league) with 52 home runs.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• The Padres have entered the game as favorites 43 times this season and won 27, or 62.8%, of those games.
• San Diego is 6-2 this season when entering a game favored by -185 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 64.9%.
• San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 30 of their 65 opportunities.
• The Padres are 35-30-0 against the spread this season.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cubs have come away with 16 wins in the 43 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Chicago has a win-loss record of 2-6 when favored by +158 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 38.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 32 of their 62 opportunities.
• The Cubs have posted a record of 31-31-0 against the spread this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Manny Machado has accumulated a team-high batting average of .322, and leads the Padres in home runs (11) and runs batted in (42).
• Including all MLB hitters, Machado ranks seventh in batting average, ninth in on-base percentage, and 12th in slugging.
• Jurickson Profar is batting .253 with 16 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 34 walks.
• Profar ranks 77th in homers and 33rd in RBI on the season.
• Jake Cronenworth is batting .245 with 15 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 27 walks.
• Cronenworth is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .476 with four doubles, a walk and three RBI.
• Eric Hosmer is hitting .280 with 12 doubles, four home runs and 21 walks.
• Hosmer brings a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .235 with a double, two walks and four RBI.

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

• Willson Contreras has swatted a team-high 12 home runs.
• In all of the big leagues, Contreras ranks 25th in homers and 101st in RBI.
• Contreras carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .313 with two doubles, two home runs, a walk and three RBI.
• Ian Happ is hitting .283 to lead the lineup.
• Happ is currently 77th in homers and 67th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Frank Schwindel leads the Cubs with 32 runs batted in.
• Patrick Wisdom has swatted a team- leading 12 long balls.

Betting Tips for Padres vs. Cubs

After taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Cubs on the moneyline at +158. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 10.5 runs.