Mets vs. Marlins Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/17/2022

Seeking their 43rd win of the year, the New York Mets (42-23) are favorites (-194) on the moneyline when they take on the Miami Marlins (28-33) Friday at 7:10 PM ET. New York is projected to give the ball to Carlos Carrasco, while Miami has yet to name a starting pitcher.

Mets vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Marlins

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+167) and Over (8.5)

Mets vs. Marlins Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco
• Game Day: Friday, June 17, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field

Mets Starter Carlos Carrasco

• Carrasco gets the start for the Mets, his 13th of the season. He is 7-2 with a 3.93 ERA and 68 strikeouts through 68 2/3 innings pitched.
• In 12 games this season, the 35-year-old has an ERA of 3.93, with 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .262 against him.
• Carrasco heads into the game with four quality starts under his belt this season.
• Carrasco has pitched five or more innings in a game nine times this season heading into this game.
• He will face a Marlins offense that ranks 16th in the league with 276 runs while batting .242 as a unit. It has a collective .397 slugging percentage (13th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 69 home runs (13th in MLB).
• The 35-year-old ranks 44th in ERA (3.93), 40th in WHIP (1.223), and 23rd in K/9 (8.9) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have entered the game as favorites 48 times this season and won 33, or 68.8%, of those games.
• New York is 5-1 this season when entering a game favored by -194 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 66%.
• Games involving New York have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 34 of 67 chances this season.
• The Mets have an ATS record of 39-26-0 in 65 games with a spread this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have won in 12, or 35.3%, of the 34 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This year, Miami has won one of three games when listed as at least +167 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 37.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Miami and their opponents have gone over in 31 of their 61 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Marlins are 32-29-0 against the spread in their 61 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Mets best power option comes in the form of Pete Alonso and his 18-dinger 59-RBI season, both team highs.
• Alonso ranks second in home runs and second in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .242 with nine doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 27 walks.
• Lindor ranks 48th in homers in MLB, and seventh in RBI.
• Jeff McNeil leads the Mets with a team-high batting average of .324.
• McNeil will look to build on his four-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .389 with a double, a home run, a walk and four RBI.
• Starling Marte is hitting .279 with 11 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 10 walks.
• Marte has recorded at least one hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .400 with a double, two walks and an RBI.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jazz Chisholm has posted a team-high 13 home runs and has driven in 41 runs.
• Chisholm is 17th in homers and 13th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Jorge Soler is hitting .217 with 12 doubles, 12 home runs and 25 walks.
• Soler is currently 25th in homers and 75th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Garrett Cooper paces the Marlins’ lineup with a .311 batting average.
• Jesus Aguilar is hitting .247 with 11 doubles, nine home runs and 18 walks.

Betting Tips for Mets vs. Marlins

Our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +167 after analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 8.5 runs.