Astros vs. Mets Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/21/2022

The AL West-leading Houston Astros (41-25) are favorites (-135) for their matchup with the New York Mets (45-24), who lead the NL East. First pitch is set for 8:10 PM ET Tuesday . Jose Urquidy gets the starting nod for Houston while Trevor Williams is New York’s starter for the contest.

Astros vs. Mets Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. Mets

Our computer pick: New York Mets (+115) and Over (9)

Astros vs. Mets Game Info

• Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: José Urquidy
• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Trevor Williams
• Game Day: Tuesday, June 21, 2022
• Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
• Location: Houston, Texas
• Stadium: Minute Maid Park

Houston Astros vs New York Mets Pitching Matchup

Astros Starter José Urquidy

• Urquidy (5-3 with a 4.99 ERA and 47 strikeouts in 61 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Astros, his 13th of the season.
• His last time out came on Wednesday against the Texas Rangers, when the right-hander went 6 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up five hits.
• The 27-year-old has amassed an ERA of 4.99, with 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in 12 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .313 batting average against him.
• Urquidy heads into this matchup with four quality starts under his belt this year.
• Urquidy has put up eight starts this season in which he pitched five or more innings.
• The opposing Mets offense has a collective .261 batting average, and is first in the league with 608 total hits and first in MLB action with 348 runs scored. It has the 10th-ranked slugging percentage (.402) and ranks 18th in home runs (64) in all of MLB.

Mets Starter Trevor Williams

• The Mets’ Williams (1-3) will make his sixth start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance came in relief on Wednesday when he threw 2 1/3 innings out of the bullpen against the Milwaukee Brewers, giving up one earned run while allowing two hits.
• The 30-year-old has pitched in 12 games this season with an ERA of 3.53, a 4.125 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.234.
• In five starts this season, Williams has not yet earned a quality start.
• In five starts, Williams has pitched through or past the fifth inning two times. He has a season average of 2.3 frames per outing.
• The Astros are batting .237 this season, 19th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .412 (seventh in the league) with 87 home runs.

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

• The Astros have entered the game as favorites 56 times this season and won 37, or 66.1%, of those games.
• This season, Houston has won 29 of its 44 games, or 65.9%, when favored by at least -135 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 57.4%.
• Houston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 21 of their 66 opportunities.
• In 66 games with a spread this season, the Astros are 31-35-0 ATS.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have been underdogs in 19 games this season and have come away with the win 10 times (52.6%) in those contests.
• New York has a mark of 5-4 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +115 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 46.5% chance of walking away with the win.
• New York and their opponents have hit the over in 36 of their 71 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• In 69 games with a line this season, the Mets have a mark of 41-28-0 against the spread.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

• Not only does Yordan Alvarez lead the Astros in hitting with his .311 average, he also paces the squad with 18 home runs and 47 RBI.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Alvarez’s home run total places him fifth, and his RBI tally ranks him 10th.
• Kyle Tucker is hitting .260 with nine doubles, 13 home runs and 31 walks.
• Of all MLB hitters, Tucker ranks 22nd in home runs and 18th in RBI.
• Alex Bregman has 14 doubles, seven home runs and 39 walks while hitting .218.
• Bregman will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .167 with a home run, four walks and two RBI.
• Michael Brantley has 13 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 29 walks while hitting .292.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso has a team-leading 19 home runs and has driven in 64 runs.
• Alonso’s home run total places him third in the majors, and he ranks first in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor has nine doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 27 walks while batting .242.
• Lindor is currently 42nd in home runs and fourth in RBI in the major leagues.
• Jeff McNeil leads the Mets’ lineup with a .327 batting average.
• Starling Marte has 12 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 12 walks while hitting .277.

Betting Tips for Astros vs. Mets

After analyzing all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Mets on the moneyline at +115. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 9 runs.