Avalanche vs. Lightning Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks – Stanley Cup Final Game 4
by Bryan Smith | Jun 21, 2022
The Colorado Avalanche take the road Wednesday to play the Tampa Bay Lightning for Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Final, starting at 8:00 PM ET. The Avalanche lead the series 2-1. Avalanche (-112) versus Lightning (-108) appears pretty close, according to the moneyline odds. Find more below on the Avalanche vs. Lightning betting line, injury report, head-to-head stats, best bets and more.
Avalanche vs. Lightning Spread and Betting Line
Avalanche vs Lightning Betting Information
| Favorite |
Moneyline |
Underdog |
Moneyline |
| Avalanche |
-112 |
Lightning |
-108 |
Avalanche vs. Lightning Game Info
- Game Day: Wednesday, June 22, 2022
- Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Location: Tampa, Florida
- Arena: Amalie Arena
Computer Predictions for Avalanche vs. Lightning
Computer picks for Avalanche vs Lightning
| ATS |
Over/Under |
Score Prediction |
|
Lightning (+1.5)
|
Over (6)
|
Lightning 4 Avalanche 3
|
Avalanche vs. Lightning Betting Trends
Colorado has gone 70-24 as the oddsmakers’ choice this season.
The Avalanche have a record of 70-24 this season while playing with their moneyline odds shorter than -112.
The moneyline odds say Colorado has a 52.8% chance of winning this game.
Colorado Avalanche Leaders
Mikko Rantanen is one of Colorado’s top contributors with 92 points. He has 36 goals and 56 assists this season.
Nathan MacKinnon has 88 points (1.4 per game), scoring 32 goals and adding 56 assists.
Nazem Kadri has scored 28 goals and added 59 assists through 71 games for Colorado.
Darcy Kuemper (37-12-4) has a goals against average of 2.5 on the season, and 1616 saves. His .921 save percentage is fifth-best in the league.
Colorado Avalanche Season Stats
The Avalanche offense’s 308 total goals (3.8 per game) are ranked fourth in the NHL this year.
On defense, the Avalanche are one of the best units in league competition, allowing 232 goals to rank ninth.
The team has the league’s fourth-best goal differential at +76 this season.
The 67 power-play goals the Avalanche have put up this season (on 278 power-play chances) lead the NHL.
The Avalanche have the league’s eighth-best power-play conversion rate at 24.1%.
The Avalanche’s six shorthanded goals this season rank 17th.
The Avalanche kill 79.7% of their opponent’s power plays, the 15th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
The Avalanche’s players win 47.3% of their faceoffs to rank 28th in the league.
The Avalanche connect on 10.7% of their shots, ranking sixth in the NHL.
The Avalanche’s players are looking for their first shutout win this season. As a team, they are averaging 21.5 hits and 13.2 blocked shots per game.
Lightning vs. Avalanche Betting Trends
The Lightning have been the underdog 25 times this season, and upset their opponent in 11, or 44.0%, of those games.
Tampa Bay has 25 games this season playing as the underdog by -108 or longer, and is 11-14 in those contests.
The moneyline implies a 51.9% chance to win for the Lightning.
Tampa Bay Lightning Leaders
Steven Stamkos has recorded 42 goals (0.5 per game) and dished out 64 assists (0.8 per game), averaging 3.0 shots per game and shooting 17.4%. That makes him among the leaders for Tampa Bay with 106 total points (1.3 per game).
Victor Hedman is a top contributor for Tampa Bay, with 86 total points this season. He has scored 20 goals and provided 66 assists in 82 games.
Nikita Kucherov has 25 goals and 44 assists, for a season point total of 69.
Tampa Bay’s Andrei Vasilevskiy is 39-18-5 this season, compiling 1712 saves and permitting 156 goals (2.5 goals against average) with a .916 save percentage (12th in the league).
Tampa Bay Lightning Season Stats
The Lightning have scored the seventh-most goals (285 goals, 3.5 per game) in the league.
The Lightning have been one of the toughest defensive squads in the NHL this season, conceding 228 goals (2.8 per game) to rank sixth.
Their +57 goal differential is seventh-best in the league.
The Lightning have put up 63 power-play goals this season (on 260 power-play chances). That’s the fourth-most in the NHL.
The Lightning have a 24.2% power-play conversion rate, the NHL’s No. 7 percentage.
The Lightning have scored seven shorthanded goals this season (12th among NHL squads).
The 81.4% penalty-kill percentage the Lightning have amassed is the league’s ninth-best rate.
The Lightning have the 15th-ranked faceoff win rate in the NHL (50.1%).
The 11.3% shooting percentage the Lightning have amassed ranks third in the league.
The Lightning have not had a shutout victory yet this season.
Avalanche and Lightning Injury Report
Avalanche: Andre Burakovsky: Day To Day (Undisclosed), Ryan Murray: Out (Hand/Wrist), Nazem Kadri: Out (Undisclosed), Samuel Girard: Out For Season (Sternum)
Lightning: Brayden Point: Day To Day (Undisclosed)
Betting Tips for Avalanche vs. Lightning
Our best bet is Lightning on the moneyline at -108 and Lightning (+1.5) against the spread after taking a look at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will finish over the total of 6 goals.
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