Red Sox vs. Guardians Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/26/2022

The Boston Red Sox (41-31) will look to Jarren Duran, red hot after a four-hit game, to lead them in a matchup with the Cleveland Guardians (36-31) on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET. The Red Sox are -114 favorites for the contest, according to bookmakers. Rich Hill starts for Boston while Aaron Civale is Cleveland’s starter for the contest.

Red Sox vs. Guardians Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Red Sox vs. Guardians

We have the Guardians on the moneyline at -105 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Cleveland Guardians (-105) and Over (9)

Red Sox vs. Guardians Game Info

• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Rich Hill
• Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Aaron Civale
• Game Day: Sunday, June 26, 2022
• Game Time: 1:40 PM ET
• Location: Cleveland, Ohio
• Stadium: Progressive Field

Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Pitching Matchup

Red Sox Starter Rich Hill

• Hill (3-4) takes the mound for the Red Sox in his 14th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.50 ERA in 60 innings pitched, with 50 strikeouts.
• In his last time out on Tuesday against the Detroit Tigers, the lefty went 5 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
• The 42-year-old has a 4.50 ERA and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings in 13 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .260 to his opponents.
• Hill is looking to pick up his third quality start of the year.
• Hill is seeking his third straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.2 frames per appearance on the mound.
• The opposing Guardians offense has the 17th-ranked slugging percentage (.390) and ranks 28th in MLB play with 54 home runs. It has a collective .251 batting average, and is 16th in MLB with 575 total hits and 17th in MLB play scoring 305 runs.

Guardians Starter Aaron Civale

• Civale (2-3) will take to the mound for the Guardians and make his ninth start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings while giving up two earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the Minnesota Twins.
• The 27-year-old has an ERA of 7.25 and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .291 in eight games this season.
• He has started eight games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in one of them.
• Civale will look to pitch five or more innings for the third start in a row.
• The Red Sox rank third in MLB with a .259 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks sixth in the league (.417) and 70 home runs.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Red Sox have been favored 43 times and won 28, or 65.1%, of those games.
• Boston has a record of 27-15, a 64.3% win rate, when favored by -114 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 53.3%.
• Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 27 of their 72 opportunities.
• The Red Sox are 40-32-0 against the spread this season.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

• The Guardians have been victorious in 18, or 46.2%, of the 39 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Cleveland has a mark of 17-21 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -105 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 51.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 34 of their 72 opportunities.
• The Guardians have posted a record of 39-33-0 against the spread this season.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rafael Devers has left the yard 17 times this season, the highest mark on the Red Sox, while hitting .330 with 44 RBI.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Devers is 10th in homers and 23rd in RBI.
• Devers carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .353 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and two RBI.
• Xander Bogaerts has a club-high .333 batting average.
• Bogaerts is 128th in home runs and 86th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Bogaerts carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .222 with two walks.
• J.D. Martinez is batting .324 with 23 doubles, eight home runs and 27 walks.
• Martinez has at least one base hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .167 with three walks and two RBI.
• Alex Verdugo has 16 doubles, five home runs and 16 walks while batting .251.
• Verdugo is riding a six-game hitting streak into this one. During his last 10 games he is batting .275 with two doubles, two home runs, three walks and 10 RBI.

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jose Ramirez paces the Guardians in home runs (16) and runs batted in (63).
• Ramirez is 16th in home runs and second in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Amed Rosario has 10 doubles, five triples, two home runs and 11 walks while hitting .278.
• Rosario is 283rd among all hitters in MLB in home runs, and 188th in RBI.
• Andres Gimenez has racked up a team-high batting average of .312.
• Josh Naylor has 13 doubles, eight home runs and 15 walks while hitting .278.