Nationals vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/27/2022

by | Jun 27, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Nationals vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/27/2022

The Pittsburgh Pirates (29-43) hope to avoid their fourth straight defeat when they visit the Washington Nationals (27-48) Monday at 7:05 PM ET. The Nationals are listed as -142 favorites, while the Pirates are +121 underdogs as they try to snap their losing skid. Washington is projected to give the ball to Erick Fedde, while Pittsburgh has yet to name a starting pitcher.

Nationals vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Nationals vs Pirates Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Nationals -142 +121 9.5 +100 -121 -1.5 +139 -163

Computer Predictions for Nationals vs. Pirates

Our best bet is the Pirates on the moneyline at +121 after taking a look at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will under the total of 9.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+121) and Under (9.5)

Nationals vs. Pirates Game Info

  • Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Erick Fedde
  • Game Day: Monday, June 27, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • Location: Washington D.C.
  • Stadium: Nationals Park

Nationals Starter Erick Fedde

  • Fedde (5-5) gets the starting nod for the Nationals in his 15th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.46 ERA in 68 2/3 innings pitched, with 55 strikeouts.
  • The 29-year-old has a 4.46 ERA and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings across 14 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .261 to opposing hitters.
  • Fedde is trying to collect his fourth quality start of the year.
  • Fedde has pitched five or more innings in a game nine times this season entering this outing.
  • The opposing Pirates offense has a collective .220 batting average, and is 29th in the league with 516 total hits and 28th in MLB play with 263 runs scored. It has the 28th-ranked slugging percentage (.364) and ranks 17th in home runs (73) in all of MLB.
  • Fedde has thrown five innings, giving up two earned runs on four hits while striking out six against the Pirates this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Nationals have been favored 10 times and won six of those games.
  • Washington has played as a favorite of -142 or more once this season and won that game.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 58.7% chance to win.
  • Washington and its opponents have hit the over in 39 of their 75 games with a total this season.
  • The Nationals are 33-42-0 against the spread in their 75 chances this season.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Pirates have come away with 20 wins in the 56 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win 15 times in 46 chances when named as an underdog of at least +121 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 45.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 30 of their 72 opportunities.
  • The Pirates are 33-39-0 against the spread in their 72 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Josh Bell comes into Monday’s game as the Nationals top run producer, collecting 46 RBI while connecting on 11 round-trippers in 2022. His .312 average is also best on the squad.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Bell is 13th in batting average, ninth in on-base percentage, and 24th in slugging.
  • Bell takes a hitting streak of five games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .500 with two doubles, a triple, two walks and two RBI.
  • Juan Soto’s 14 home runs are a team-high mark.
  • Soto is 25th in homers and 93rd in RBI in the bigs.
  • Soto enters this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .214 with two doubles and six walks.
  • Nelson Cruz is batting .252 with 12 doubles, eight home runs and 31 walks.
  • Cruz is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .278 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and six RBI.
  • Cesar Hernandez is hitting .263 with 16 doubles, two triples and 20 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Josh Bell 74 .312 .393 .496 11 46 83
Juan Soto 73 .210 .366 .428 14 31 54
Nelson Cruz 69 .252 .334 .394 8 43 64
César Hernández 74 .263 .314 .329 0 18 80
Maikel Franco 72 .248 .272 .369 6 32 68

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates in home runs (12) and runs batted in (25).
  • Reynolds’ home run total places him 41st in MLB, and he is 147th in RBI.
  • Reynolds takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with a triple, a home run, a walk and three RBI.
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes is hitting .263 to lead the lineup.
  • Hayes is 241st in homers and 154th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Daniel Vogelbach is hitting .215 with seven doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 24 walks.
  • Michael Chavis has recorded a team-high 25 runs batted in.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Bryan Reynolds 69 .254 .326 .446 12 25 66
Ke’Bryan Hayes 64 .263 .338 .379 3 24 64
Daniel Vogelbach 56 .215 .306 .414 9 23 39
Michael Chavis 62 .249 .294 .426 8 25 49
Jack Suwinski 54 .211 .289 .456 12 22 36

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