Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/28/2022

Two of the league’s top hitters will meet Tuesday when the Toronto Blue Jays (41-32) and Boston Red Sox (42-32) take to the field at 7:07 PM ET. Alejandro Kirk is batting .322 for the Blue Jays (-139 favorites on the moneyline) while Rafael Devers leads the underdog Red Sox (+118) with a .333 average. Ross Stripling will get the ball for Toronto while Boston counter with Michael Wacha.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Blue Jays vs. Red Sox

Our best bet is the Red Sox on the moneyline at +118 after taking a look at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 10 runs.

Our computer pick: Boston Red Sox (+118) and Over (10)

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Game Info

• Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: Ross Stripling
• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Michael Wacha
• Game Day: Tuesday, June 28, 2022
• Game Time: 7:07 PM ET
• Location: Toronto, Ontario
• Stadium: Rogers Centre

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Blue Jays Starter Ross Stripling

• Stripling gets the start for the Blue Jays, his 10th of the season. He is 4-2 with a 3.08 ERA and 43 strikeouts through 52 2/3 innings pitched.
• His most recent time out was on Wednesday against the Chicago White Sox, when the right-hander tossed 6 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up five hits.
• The 32-year-old has a 3.08 ERA and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings across 17 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .220 to his opponents.
• Stripling has two quality starts under his belt this season.
• Stripling heads into the game with four outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
• The opposing Red Sox offense has the fifth-ranked slugging percentage (.417) and ranks 20th in MLB play with 70 home runs. It has a collective .261 batting average, and is first in MLB with 667 total hits and fifth in MLB play scoring 353 runs.
• Head-to-head against the Red Sox this season, Stripling has pitched five innings, giving up one earned run on five hits while striking out seven.

Red Sox Starter Michael Wacha

• Wacha (6-1) will take the mound for the Red Sox, his 13th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed five hits in 6 2/3 innings pitched against the Detroit Tigers on Wednesday.
• The 30-year-old has an ERA of 2.34, a 2.526 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.041 in 12 games this season.
• He has started 12 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in three of them.
• Wacha will look to pitch five or more innings for the third start in a row.
• The Blue Jays have scored 346 runs this season, which ranks 10th in MLB. They have 633 hits, seventh in baseball, with 98 home runs (fifth in the league).
• The Blue Jays have gone 4-for-22 with a double and an RBI in six innings this season against the right-hander.

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

• The Blue Jays have entered the game as favorites 55 times this season and won 32, or 58.2%, of those games.
• Toronto has a record of 22-14, a 61.1% win rate, when favored by -139 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.2% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays.
• Toronto and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 40 of their 72 opportunities.
• The Blue Jays are 33-39-0 against the spread in their 72 chances this season.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have been underdogs in 30 games this season and have come away with the win 13 times (43.3%) in those contests.
• This season, Boston has been victorious six times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +118 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 45.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Boston and their opponents have gone over in 28 of their 74 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Red Sox have an against the spread mark of 41-33-0 in 74 games with a line this season.

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Blue Jays best power option comes in the form of Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and his 18-homer 45-RBI season, both team highs.
• Among all MLB hitters, Guerrero is 48th in batting average, 32nd in on-base percentage, and 20th in slugging.
• Guerrero brings a hitting streak of six games into this game. During his last 10 games he is batting .250 with two doubles, two home runs, nine walks and six RBI.
• Kirk’s .322 batting average leads his team.
• Kirk is 58th in home runs and 98th in RBI on the year.
• Kirk has two straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .500 with a double, three home runs, two walks and seven RBI.
• George Springer is hitting .259 with 11 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 24 walks.
• Springer will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is batting .200 with two home runs, a walk and two RBI.
• Bo Bichette is hitting .256 with 16 doubles, 12 home runs and 19 walks.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Devers has posted a team-best batting average of .333, while leading the Red Sox in long balls with 17.
• Devers’ home run total places him 13th in the majors, and he is 21st in RBI.
• Devers carries a seven-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is batting .343 with three doubles, a home run, six walks and five RBI.
• J.D. Martinez has 24 doubles, eight home runs and 28 walks while hitting .324.
• Martinez ranks 87th overall in homers and 84th in RBI this season.
• Xander Bogaerts has 20 doubles, six home runs and 28 walks while batting .330.
• Alex Verdugo is batting .260 with 16 doubles, five home runs and 19 walks.