Nationals vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/28/2022

Entering Tuesday’s matchup with the Washington Nationals (28-48), the Pittsburgh Pirates (29-44) are on a four-game losing streak. The contest starts at 7:05 PM ET with the Nationals listed as -122 favorites, while the are +103 underdogs who may be heading for a fifth straight defeat. Washington’s Patrick Corbin gets the start, and he’ll go against Pittsburgh’s Jose Quintana.

Nationals vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Nationals vs. Pirates

Our best bet is the Pirates on the moneyline at +103 after looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 9.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+103) and Over (9.5)

Nationals vs. Pirates Game Info

• Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin
• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: José Quintana
• Game Day: Tuesday, June 28, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: Washington D.C.
• Stadium: Nationals Park

Washington Nationals vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Nationals Starter Patrick Corbin

• Corbin (3-10 with a 6.60 ERA and 63 strikeouts in 73 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Nationals, his 16th of the season.
• His last appearance was on Wednesday against the Baltimore Orioles, when the lefty tossed 4 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up seven hits.
• In 15 games this season, the 32-year-old has amassed a 6.60 ERA and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .322 to opposing hitters.
• Corbin heads into this outing with four quality starts under his belt this year.
• Corbin has put up nine starts this year in which he pitched five or more innings.
• The opposing Pirates offense has the 28th-ranked slugging percentage (.364) and is 17th in MLB play with 74 home runs. It has a collective .220 batting average, and is 28th in MLB with 523 total hits and 28th in MLB play scoring 265 runs.
• Corbin has pitched 5 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on three hits while striking out four against the Pirates this season.

Pirates Starter José Quintana

• Quintana (1-4) will take the mound for the Pirates, his 15th start of the season.
• The left-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings while giving up two earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Chicago Cubs.
• The 33-year-old has pitched in 14 games this season with an ERA of 3.34, a 2.652 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.300.
• He has three quality starts in 14 chances this season.
• Quintana has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Nationals have scored 305 runs this season, which ranks 22nd in MLB. They have 643 hits, fifth in baseball, with 60 home runs (25th in the league).
• The left-hander has allowed the Nationals to go 5-for-17 with three RBI in four innings this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Nationals have been favored 11 times and won seven, or 63.6%, of those games.
• Washington has entered eight games this season favored by -122 or more and is 4-4 in those contests.
• The Nationals have a 55% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Washington and its opponents have hit the over in 39 of their 76 games with a total this season.
• The Nationals have an ATS record of 33-43-0 in 76 games with a spread this season.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have won in 20, or 35.1%, of the 57 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This year, Pittsburgh has won 20 of 55 games when listed as at least +103 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 49.3% chance of walking away with the win.
• Pittsburgh and their opponents have hit the over in 30 of their 73 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Pirates are 34-39-0 against the spread in their 73 games that had a posted line this season.

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Josh Bell comes into Tuesday’s game as the Nationals top run producer, accumulating 46 RBI while crushing 11 home runs in 2022. His .312 average is also best on the squad.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Bell’s home run total places him 49th, and his RBI tally ranks him 17th.
• Bell carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .412 with two doubles, a triple, three home runs, seven walks and seven RBI.
• Juan Soto has shown off his power as he leads his team with 14 home runs.
• Soto ranks 25th in homers and 98th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Soto heads into this game looking for his fifth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .357 with two doubles and six walks.
• Nelson Cruz is hitting .248 with 12 doubles, eight home runs and 31 walks.
• Cesar Hernandez is hitting .261 with 16 doubles, two triples and 22 walks.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryan Reynolds paces the Pirates in home runs (12) and runs batted in (25).
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Reynolds’ home run total is 42nd and his RBI tally ranks 149th.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes is hitting .259 to lead the lineup.
• Hayes ranks 240th among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 155th in RBI.
• Daniel Vogelbach is batting .219 with seven doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 26 walks.
• Jack Suwinski has collected a team-best 12 home runs.