Braves vs. Phillies Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/29/2022

The Atlanta Braves (43-32) will look to Matt Olson, who is coming off a two-homer game, to lead them in a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies (39-36) Wednesday at 7:05 PM ET. The Braves are -139 favorites for the contest, according to oddsmakers. Atlanta’s Kyle Wright and Philadelphia’s Ranger Suarez have been named the starters for this contest.

Braves vs. Phillies Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Phillies

Our best bet is the Phillies on the moneyline at +119 after taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Philadelphia Phillies (+119) and Over (8.5)

Braves vs. Phillies Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Kyle Wright
• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Ranger Suárez
• Game Day: Wednesday, June 29, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Kyle Wright

• The Braves will send Wright (8-4) out for his 15th start of the season. He is 8-4 with a 3.18 ERA and 92 strikeouts in 85 innings pitched.
• The righty last pitched on Thursday against the San Francisco Giants, when he went 5 1/3 innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up 10 hits.
• The 26-year-old has amassed a 3.18 ERA and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings in 14 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .232 to opposing hitters.
• Wright has nine quality starts under his belt this season.
• Wright will look to pitch five or more innings for his ninth straight appearance. He’s averaging 6.0 frames per outing.
• The opposing Phillies offense has a collective .247 batting average, and is ninth in the league with 630 total hits and seventh in MLB action with 355 runs scored. It has the eighth-ranked slugging percentage (.413) and ranks seventh in home runs (93) in all of MLB.
• Wright has a 4.05 ERA and a 0.75 WHIP against the Phillies this season in 6 2/3 innings pitched, allowing a .136 batting average over one appearance.
• The 26-year-old ranks 26th in ERA (3.18), 34th in WHIP (1.165), and 11th in K/9 (9.7) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Phillies Starter Ranger Suárez

• The Phillies will send Suarez (6-4) to the mound for his 15th start this season.
• The left-hander’s last start was on Friday, when he tossed 7 1/3 innings while giving up two earned runs on seven hits in a matchup with the San Diego Padres.
• The 26-year-old has pitched in 14 games this season with an ERA of 4.23, a 1.839 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.479.
• In 14 starts this season, he’s earned five quality starts.
• Suarez has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Braves rank eighth in MLB with 354 runs scored this season. They have a .246 batting average this campaign with 113 home runs (second in the league).
• The left-hander has faced the Braves one time this season, allowing them to go 6-for-17 with a double, a home run and five RBI in 4 1/3 innings.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Braves have been favored 53 times and won 34, or 64.2%, of those games.
• This season, Atlanta has won 30 of its 43 games, or 69.8%, when favored by at least -139 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.2% chance of a victory for the Braves.
• So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 38 of their 74 games with a total.
• The Braves are 36-38-0 ATS in their 74 games with a spread this season.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have been underdogs in 28 games this season and have come away with the win 13 times (46.4%) in those contests.
• This year, Philadelphia has won eight of 14 games when listed as at least +119 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 45.7% chance of walking away with the win.
• Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 42 of their 75 opportunities.
• In 75 games with a line this season, the Phillies have a mark of 38-37-0 against the spread.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Dansby Swanson is the Braves best hitter, putting together an average of .295 while also being the team’s top run producer, collecting 43 RBI and launching 13 home runs.
• Among all MLB hitters, Swanson is 23rd in batting average, 33rd in on-base percentage, and 28th in slugging.
• Olson has totaled 43 runs batted in to lead his team.
• Olson is 42nd in home runs in MLB, and 29th in RBI.
• Olson has two games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .278 with a double, two home runs, two walks and four RBI.
• Austin Riley leads the Braves in home runs (18) and runs batted in (43).
• Travis d’Arnaud is batting .274 with 14 doubles, 11 home runs and six walks.
• d’Arnaud takes a seven-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last 10 outings he is batting .349 with four doubles, five home runs, a walk and 12 RBI.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Schwarber has hit a team-best 22 home runs.
• Schwarber is fourth in home runs and 17th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
• Schwarber carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with a double, three home runs, three walks and eight RBI.
• Rhys Hoskins is batting .246 with 13 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 37 walks.
• Hoskins is currently 33rd in homers and 52nd in RBI in the big leagues.
• Nicholas Castellanos has 17 doubles, seven home runs and 21 walks while hitting .248.
• J.T. Realmuto has 11 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 21 walks while batting .238.