Yankees vs. Guardians Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/1/2022

Coming off of a 0-1 series loss to the Astros, the New York Yankees (56-21) are -211 favorites to pick up the win in Game 1 of a three-game series against the Cleveland Guardians (39-34). The series begins at Progressive Field, starting on Friday at 7:10 PM ET. New York’s Gerrit Cole gets the start, and he’ll go against Cleveland’s Aaron Civale.

Yankees vs. Guardians Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Guardians

We have the Guardians on the moneyline at +176 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after digging through all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Cleveland Guardians (+176) and Over (8)

Yankees vs. Guardians Game Info

• New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole
• Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Aaron Civale
• Game Day: Friday, July 1, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Cleveland, Ohio
• Stadium: Progressive Field

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Pitching Matchup

Yankees Starter Gerrit Cole

• Cole gets the start for the Yankees, his 16th of the season. He is 6-2 with a 2.99 ERA and 111 strikeouts in 87 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his last time out on Saturday against the Houston Astros, the righty threw 7 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering four hits.
• The 31-year-old has put up an ERA of 2.99, with 11.4 strikeouts per nine innings, in 15 games this season. Opponents have a .198 batting average against him.
• Cole is seeking his fourth quality start in a row.
• Cole will try to build on a four-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 innings per appearance).
• He will face a Guardians offense that is batting .246 as a unit (11th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .382 (18th in MLB) with 56 total home runs (28th in MLB).
• Head-to-head against the Guardians this season, Cole has pitched 6 2/3 innings without giving up an earned run on four hits, while striking out nine.
• The 31-year-old ranks 19th in ERA (2.99), 12th in WHIP (.996), and fourth in K/9 (11.4) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Guardians Starter Aaron Civale

• The Guardians will hand the ball to Civale (2-4) for his 10th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up three earned runs in 4 2/3 innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Boston Red Sox.
• The 27-year-old has pitched to a 7.20 ERA this season with 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.9 walks per nine across nine games.
• He has earned a quality start one time in nine starts this season.
• Civale has three starts of five or more innings this season in nine chances. He averages 4.1 innings per outing.
• The Yankees rank first in MLB with 384 runs scored this season. They have a .237 batting average this campaign with 127 home runs (first in the league).
• The right-hander has faced the Yankees one time this season, allowing them to go 7-for-15 with four doubles, a home run and six RBI in three innings.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Yankees have won 51 out of the 72 games, or 70.8%, in which they’ve been favored.
• New York is 21-1 this season when entering a game favored by -211 or more on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 67.8% chance to win.
• New York’s games have gone over the total in 33 of their 77 chances.
• In 77 games with a spread this season, the Yankees are 38-39-0 ATS.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

• The Guardians have come away with 18 wins in the 42 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Cleveland has a win-loss record of 1-5 when favored by +176 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 36.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Cleveland and their opponents have hit the over in 37 of their 79 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Guardians are 41-38-0 against the spread in their 79 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

• Aaron Judge paces the Yankees in home runs (29), runs batted in (59) and has put up a team-high batting average of .286.
• Judge ranks first in homers and fourth in RBI among all batters in baseball.
• Anthony Rizzo has 10 doubles, a triple, 21 home runs and 36 walks while batting .217.
• Rizzo ranks sixth in home runs in MLB, and 11th in RBI.
• DJ LeMahieu is hitting .266 with 13 doubles, seven home runs and 35 walks.
• LeMahieu is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .294 with a home run, five walks and two RBI.
• Giancarlo Stanton is hitting .244 with five doubles, 19 home runs and 30 walks.
• Stanton takes a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .278 with three home runs, a walk and six RBI.

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 16 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 63.
• In all of the big leagues, Ramirez is 18th in homers and third in RBI.
• Ramirez carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .211 with two doubles and two walks.
• Amed Rosario is hitting .287 with 12 doubles, five triples, two home runs and 13 walks.
• Rosario is currently 289th in home runs and 172nd in RBI in the big leagues.
• Steven Kwan is batting .284 with eight doubles, three triples, a home run and 29 walks.
• Andres Gimenez paces the Guardians with a team-leading batting average of .308.