Red Sox vs. Cubs Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/2/2022

The Boston Red Sox (43-34) and Chicago Cubs (31-46) meet Saturday at Wrigley Field, with first pitch at 7:15 PM ET. The Red Sox are -138 moneyline favorites for the contest, however, the Cubs are favored against the spread of runs with odds. Josh Winckowski gets the starting nod for Boston while Alec Mills is Chicago’s starter for the contest.

Red Sox vs. Cubs Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Red Sox vs. Cubs

Our best bet is the Cubs on the moneyline at +118 after looking at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup.

Our computer pick: Chicago Cubs (+118)

Red Sox vs. Cubs Game Info

• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Josh Winckowski
• Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Alec Mills
• Game Day: Saturday, July 2, 2022
• Game Time: 7:15 PM ET
• Location: Chicago, Illinois
• Stadium: Wrigley Field

Boston Red Sox vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Matchup

Red Sox Starter Josh Winckowski

• Winckowski gets the start for the Red Sox, his fifth of the season. He is 3-1 with a 3.60 ERA and 13 strikeouts through 20 innings pitched.
• The righty last appeared on Saturday against the Cleveland Guardians, when he went 5 1/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up six hits.
• The 24-year-old has a 3.60 ERA and 5.9 strikeouts per nine innings across four games this season, while allowing a batting average of .295 to his opponents.
• Winckowski will try to prolong a four-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.0 innings per appearance).
• The opposing Cubs offense has the 11th-ranked slugging percentage (.402) and is 18th in MLB play with 78 home runs. It has a collective .249 batting average, and is eighth in MLB with 653 total hits and 13th in MLB play scoring 342 runs.

Cubs Starter Alec Mills

• The Cubs’ Mills will make his second start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw 2 2/3 innings, giving up five earned runs while allowing six hits against the St. Louis Cardinals.
• He has pitched to a 9.87 ERA this season with 5.2 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.6 walks per nine across six games.
• The Red Sox are batting .262 this season, first in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .418 (fifth in the league) with 74 home runs.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Red Sox have been favored 45 times and won 29, or 64.4%, of those games.
• Boston has entered 26 games this season favored by -138 or more and is 14-12 in those contests.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 58% chance to win.
• Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 31 of their 77 games with a total this season.
• The Red Sox have an ATS record of 43-34-0 in 77 games with a spread this season.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cubs have come away with 21 wins in the 53 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Chicago has a win-loss record of 14-18 when favored by +118 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cubs have a 45.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Chicago and their opponents have gone over in 40 of their 77 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Cubs have an against the spread mark of 39-38-0 in 77 games with a line this season.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Red Sox leader in both batting average and homers is Rafael Devers, who comes into the contest hitting .326 and has left the yard 17 times while driving in 45 runs this season.
• Of all hitters in the majors, Devers’ home run total ranks him 13th, and his RBI tally ranks him 24th.
• Xander Bogaerts has 21 doubles, six home runs and 29 walks while batting .325.
• Bogaerts is 138th in homers and 106th in RBI on the year.
• Bogaerts has four games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .211 with a double and four walks.
• Alex Verdugo has 17 doubles, six home runs and 19 walks while hitting .265.
• Verdugo is on an 11-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last 10 games he is hitting .375 with three doubles, two home runs, four walks and 10 RBI.
• J.D. Martinez is batting .312 with 24 doubles, eight home runs and 28 walks.

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

• Willson Contreras is hitting .280 with 17 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 34 walks.
• In all of the majors, Contreras is 36th in homers and 76th in RBI.
• Ian Happ is batting .286 to lead the lineup.
• Happ is 92nd in homers and 59th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Patrick Wisdom leads the Cubs in home runs (16) and runs batted in (43).
• Nico Hoerner is batting .308 with seven doubles, three triples, four home runs and 10 walks.