Braves vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/2/2022

The Atlanta Braves (45-33) will look to Dansby Swanson, red hot after a four-hit game, to lead them in a matchup with the Cincinnati Reds (26-50) on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET. The Braves are -163 favorites for the contest, according to sportsbooks. Atlanta’s Spencer Strider and Cincinnati’s Tyler Mahle have been named the starters for this contest.

Braves vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Reds

After taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Reds on the moneyline at +140. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going under the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+140) and Under (9)

Braves vs. Reds Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Spencer Strider
• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle
• Game Day: Saturday, July 2, 2022
• Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
• Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
• Stadium: Great American Ball Park

Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Spencer Strider

• The Braves will send Strider (3-2) out to make his seventh start of the season. He is 3-2 with a 3.35 ERA and 79 strikeouts in 53 2/3 innings pitched.
• The righty’s last appearance was on Sunday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, when he went 6 2/3 scoreless innings while allowing five hits.
• In 17 games this season, the 23-year-old has amassed a 3.35 ERA and 13.2 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .187 to opposing batters.
• Strider heads into this outing with one quality start under his belt this season.
• Strider has pitched five or more innings in a game three times this season heading into this game.
• The opposing Reds offense has the 20th-ranked slugging percentage (.381) and ranks 21st in MLB play with 71 home runs. It has a collective .242 batting average, and is 18th in MLB with 609 total hits and 15th in MLB action scoring 330 runs.
• Head-to-head against the Reds this season, Strider has pitched two innings without giving up a hit or an earned run while striking out five.

Reds Starter Tyler Mahle

• The Reds will hand the ball to Mahle (3-6) for his 17th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed four hits in 6 2/3 innings pitched against the San Francisco Giants on Sunday.
• The 27-year-old has pitched in 16 games this season with an ERA of 4.53 and 10 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .234.
• He has started 16 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in seven of them.
• Mahle will look to pitch five or more innings for the seventh start in a row.
• The Braves have scored 371 runs this season, which ranks fifth in MLB. They are batting .247 for the campaign with 118 home runs, second in the league.
• The Braves have gone 3-for-18 in one game against the right-hander this season.
• The 27-year-old ranks 56th in ERA (4.53), 45th in WHIP (1.260), and 11th in K/9 (10) among qualified pitchers in the majors this year.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Braves have won 36 out of the 55 games, or 65.5%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Atlanta has a record of 18-8, a 69.2% win rate, when favored by -163 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 62% chance to win.
• Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 40 of their 77 opportunities.
• The Braves are 38-39-0 ATS in their 77 games with a spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have been underdogs in 60 games this season and have come away with the win 21 times (35%) in those contests.
• Cincinnati has a mark of 8-23 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +140 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Reds have an implied victory probability of 41.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Cincinnati and their opponents have gone over in 43 of their 77 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Reds have an against the spread mark of 34-43-0 in 77 games with a line this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Swanson comes into Saturday’s game as the Braves top run producer, delivering 46 RBI while connecting on 14 homers in 2022. His .297 average is also best on the squad.
• Of all hitters in MLB, Swanson’s home run total places him 32nd, and his RBI tally puts him 22nd.
• Matt Olson has 31 doubles, 12 home runs and 43 walks while batting .252.
• Olson ranks 46th in homers and 31st in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Austin Riley has put up a team-high 19 home runs and 46 runs batted in.
• Riley will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with a double, a home run, three walks and four RBI.
• Marcell Ozuna is batting .223 with nine doubles, 14 home runs and 21 walks.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Brandon Drury paces the Reds in home runs (16) and runs batted in (40).
• Among all hitters in the majors, Drury’s home run total is 18th and his RBI tally is 41st.
• Tommy Pham is batting .260 with nine doubles, 11 home runs and 35 walks.
• Pham is currently 53rd in homers and 76th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Kyle Farmer leads the Reds with a team-best batting average of .284.
• Joey Votto is batting .220 with 15 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 30 walks.