Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/2/2022

Two of the league’s top hitters will meet Saturday when the Miami Marlins (35-40) and Washington Nationals (29-50) take to the field at 4:05 PM ET. Garrett Cooper is batting .321 for the Marlins (-118 favorites on the moneyline) while Josh Bell leads the underdog Nationals (-100) with a .325 average. Miami’s Daniel Castano gets the start, and he’ll go against Washington’s Jackson Tetreault.

Marlins vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Marlins vs. Nationals

Our best bet is the Nationals on the moneyline at -100 after looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 9.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (-100) and Over (9.5)

Marlins vs. Nationals Game Info

• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Daniel Castano
• Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Jackson Tetreault
• Game Day: Saturday, July 2, 2022
• Game Time: 4:05 PM ET
• Location: Washington D.C.
• Stadium: Nationals Park

Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Marlins Starter Daniel Castano

• Castano (0-1) gets the starting nod for the Marlins in his fourth start of the season. He has a 2.57 ERA in 21 innings pitched, with 12 strikeouts.
• The left-hander last appeared on Sunday against the New York Mets, when he went 7 2/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up five hits.
• The 27-year-old has an ERA of 2.57, with 5.1 strikeouts per nine innings, in six games this season. Opponents have a .268 batting average against him.
• He will face off against a Nationals offense that ranks sixth in MLB with 670 total hits (on a .253 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .381 (20th in MLB) with 62 total home runs (25th in MLB).
• Castano has a 0 ERA and a 0.5 WHIP against the Nationals this season in two innings pitched, allowing a .167 batting average over one appearance.

Nationals Starter Jackson Tetreault

• Tetreault (2-1) will take the mound for the Nationals, his fourth start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in 6 2/3 innings against the Texas Rangers.
• The 26-year-old has pitched to a 4.24 ERA this season with 4.2 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.6 walks per nine across three games.
• If he completes six or more innings with three or fewer earned runs allowed, he’ll earn his third quality start in a row.
• Tetreault has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Marlins have scored 329 runs this season, which ranks 16th in MLB. They are batting .244 for the campaign with 82 home runs, 15th in the league.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Marlins have been favored 32 times and won 20, or 62.5%, of those games.
• Miami is 16-10 this season when entering a game favored by -118 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Marlins, based on the moneyline, is 54.1%.
• Games involving Miami have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 38 of 75 chances this season.
• The Marlins are 37-38-0 against the spread in their 75 chances this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Nationals have come away with 22 wins in the 65 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Washington has come away with a win 21 times in 62 chances when named as an underdog of at least -100 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Washington and their opponents have hit the over in 40 of their 79 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Nationals have an against the spread mark of 34-45-0 in 79 games with a line this season.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Cooper is the Marlins best hitter thus far this season, hitting at a team-leading .321 clip along with five homers and 36 RBI.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Cooper is 174th in home runs and 64th in RBI.
• Cooper has collected a hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .444 with three doubles, two walks and two RBI.
• Miguel Rojas is batting .243 with eight doubles, a triple, six home runs and 13 walks.
• Rojas is 139th in home runs and 198th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Rojas enters this matchup looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with two doubles, a home run and two RBI.
• Jon Berti is hitting .276 with eight doubles, two triples, two home runs and 21 walks.
• Jesus Aguilar is batting .247 with 12 doubles, nine home runs and 18 walks.
• Aguilar is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .190 with an RBI.

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Nationals are lead in runs batted in by Bell with a mark of 46, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .325.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Bell ranks 53rd in home runs and 22nd in RBI.
• Bell brings a hitting streak of nine games into this game. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .486 with six doubles, a triple, six walks and two RBI.
• Juan Soto’s 14 home runs lead his team.
• Soto is currently 32nd in homers and 95th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Nelson Cruz is batting .245 with 12 doubles, eight home runs and 33 walks.
• Cesar Hernandez is batting .262 with 17 doubles, two triples and 25 walks.