Mets vs. Rangers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/2/2022

The New York Mets (48-29) are set to take on the Texas Rangers (36-39) Saturday at 4:10 PM ET. The Mets are listed as -132 favorites by sportsbooks, while the underdog Rangers have +112 odds for the contest. Trevor Williams takes the mound for New York while Martin Perez is Texas’ starter for the contest.

Mets vs. Rangers Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mets vs. Rangers

Our best bet is the Rangers on the moneyline at +112 after digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will under the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Texas Rangers (+112) and Under (9)

Mets vs. Rangers Game Info

• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Trevor Williams
• Texas Rangers probable starting pitcher: Martín Pérez
• Game Day: Saturday, July 2, 2022
• Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
• Location: Queens, New York
• Stadium: Citi Field

New York Mets vs Texas Rangers Pitching Matchup

Mets Starter Trevor Williams

• The Mets will send Williams (1-4) to the mound to make his seventh start of the season. He is 1-4 with a 3.64 ERA and 39 strikeouts in 42 innings pitched.
• The right-hander last appeared in relief on Tuesday, when he tossed 2 1/3 scoreless innings against the Houston Astros while giving up one hit.
• The 30-year-old has a 3.64 ERA and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings across 14 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .250 to opposing hitters.
• So far this year, Williams does not have a quality start.
• Williams is looking to secure his third start of five or more innings this year in this game.
• He will face a Rangers offense that ranks 18th in the league with 328 runs while batting .237 as a unit. It has a collective .392 slugging percentage (17th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 95 home runs (ninth in MLB).

Rangers Starter Martín Pérez

• The Rangers will hand the ball to Perez (6-2) for his 16th start of the season.
• The left-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings while giving up four earned runs on seven hits in a matchup with the Kansas City Royals.
• The 31-year-old has pitched to a 2.22 ERA this season with 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.2 walks per nine across 15 games.
• He has earned a quality start 11 times in 15 starts this season.
• Pérez has pitched five or more innings in 13 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Mets are batting .256 this season, fourth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .397 (15th in the league) with 72 home runs.
• Among qualified pitchers in the majors this year, the 31-year-old ranks sixth in ERA (2.22), 33rd in WHIP (1.146), and 45th in K/9 (7.4).

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Mets have been favored 55 times and won 38, or 69.1%, of those games.
• New York has entered 37 games this season favored by -132 or more and is 25-12 in those contests.
• The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 56.9% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• New York’s games have gone over the total in 40 of their 79 chances.
• In 77 games with a spread this season, the Mets are 43-34-0 ATS.

Rangers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Rangers have won in 25, or 50%, of the 50 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This season, Texas has been victorious 18 times in 33 chances when named as an underdog of at least +112 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rangers have a 47.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Texas and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 32 of their 76 opportunities.
• The Rangers have an against the spread mark of 44-32-0 in 76 games with a line this season.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Mets best power option comes in the form of Pete Alonso and his 22-home-run 69-RBI season, both team highs.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Alonso ranks fifth in homers and first in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .242 with 11 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 30 walks.
• Of all MLB hitters, Lindor is 47th in home runs and sixth in RBI.
• Starling Marte has 16 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 13 walks while batting .275.
• Jeff McNeil’s .319 batting average paces his team.

Rangers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Adolis Garcia paces the Rangers in home runs (15) and runs batted in (50).
• Among all hitters in the majors, Garcia’s home run total is 24th and his RBI tally ranks 16th.
• Corey Seager’s 15 home runs are a team-high total.
• Seager is 24th in home runs and 70th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Marcus Semien is batting .235 with 13 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 25 walks.
• Nate Lowe paces the Rangers with a .279 batting average.