Phillies vs. Cardinals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/3/2022

Two of the league’s top power hitters meet Sunday when the Philadelphia Phillies (41-38) and St. Louis Cardinals (44-36) take the field at 7:08 PM ET. Kyle Schwarber has 23 home runs for the Phillies (-136 favorites on the moneyline) while Paul Goldschmidt has 19 homers this season for the Cardinals (+116). Philadelphia’s Zack Wheeler gets the start, and he’ll go against St. Louis’ Adam Wainwright.

Phillies vs. Cardinals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Cardinals

We have the Cardinals on the moneyline at +116 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after looking at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going under the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: St. Louis Cardinals (+116) and Under (7.5)

Phillies vs. Cardinals Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler
• St. Louis Cardinals probable starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright
• Game Day: Sunday, July 3, 2022
• Game Time: 7:08 PM ET
• Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals Pitching Matchup

Phillies Starter Zack Wheeler

• Wheeler makes the start for the Phillies, his 15th of the season. He is 6-4 with a 2.89 ERA and 94 strikeouts in 81 innings pitched.
• The righty last pitched on Tuesday against the Atlanta Braves, when he tossed 6 1/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up five hits.
• The 32-year-old has amassed an ERA of 2.89, with 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings, in 14 games this season. Opponents are hitting .230 against him.
• Wheeler is looking to collect his 10th quality start of the season in this matchup.
• Wheeler will look to secure his 12th matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 5.2 innings per appearance.
• He will take the hill against a Cardinals offense that ranks second in MLB with 693 total hits (on a .254 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .412 (10th in MLB) with 88 total home runs (13th in MLB).
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 32-year-old’s 2.89 ERA ranks 18th, 1.099 WHIP ranks 21st, and 10.4 K/9 ranks sixth.

Cardinals Starter Adam Wainwright

• The Cardinals will send Wainwright (6-5) to the mound for his 16th start this season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Monday, when he tossed 7 2/3 innings without allowing a run on seven hits in a matchup with the Miami Marlins.
• The 40-year-old has an ERA of 3.07 and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .256 in 15 games this season.
• He has earned a quality start nine times in 15 starts this season.
• In 15 starts, Wainwright has pitched through or past the fifth inning 13 times. He has a season average of 6.0 frames per outing.
• The Phillies have scored 381 runs this season, which ranks fourth in MLB. They are batting .248 for the campaign with 101 home runs, sixth in the league.
• The 40-year-old’s 3.07 ERA ranks 22nd, 1.253 WHIP ranks 39th, and 7.5 K/9 ranks 39th among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Phillies have won 27 out of the 49 games, or 55.1%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Philadelphia has entered 31 games this season favored by -136 or more and is 16-15 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 57.6% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 44 of their 79 chances.
• The Phillies are 40-39-0 against the spread in their 79 chances this season.

Cardinals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cardinals have been underdogs in 38 games this season and have come away with the win 18 times (47.4%) in those contests.
• This season, St. Louis has been victorious four times in 15 chances when named as an underdog of at least +116 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Cardinals have an implied victory probability of 46.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Contests with St. Louis have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 40 of 81 chances this season.
• The Cardinals are 45-35-0 against the spread in their 80 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Schwarber paces the Phillies with 23 home runs and 51 runs batted in.
• In all of the majors, Schwarber ranks second in home runs and 15th in RBI.
• Rhys Hoskins is hitting .253 with 14 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 41 walks.
• Hoskins is 19th in home runs and 39th in RBI on the year.
• Hoskins enters this game looking for his seventh game in a row with a hit. In his last 10 outings he is batting .273 with two doubles, three home runs, eight walks and four RBI.
• Nicholas Castellanos has 17 doubles, eight home runs and 21 walks while hitting .248.
• J.T. Realmuto is hitting .238 with 11 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 22 walks.
• Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with a home run, two walks and two RBI.

Cardinals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Goldschmidt leads the Cardinals in home runs (19), runs batted in (65) and has recorded a team-best batting average of .346.
• Among all batters in the majors, Goldschmidt’s home run total ranks 10th and his RBI tally ranks second.
• Goldschmidt takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .474 with three doubles, a home run, a walk and three RBI.
• Nolan Arenado is hitting .291 with 20 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 27 walks.
• Arenado ranks 14th in homers and ninth in RBI among all major league batters this season.
• Tommy Edman is batting .270 with 12 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 30 walks.
• Brendan Donovan is hitting .297 with 14 doubles, a triple, two home runs and 29 walks.