Orioles vs. Rangers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/4/2022

The Texas Rangers (37-40) will look to Jonah Heim, with homers in two straight games, to pull off an upset win over the Baltimore Orioles (36-44) Monday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The Orioles are -118 moneyline favorites for the game, which starts at 1:05 PM ET. Dean Kremer starts for Baltimore while Dane Dunning is Texas’ starter for the contest.

Orioles vs. Rangers Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Orioles vs. Rangers

We have the Rangers on the moneyline at -102 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Texas Rangers (-102) and Over (8.5)

Orioles vs. Rangers Game Info

• Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Dean Kremer
• Texas Rangers probable starting pitcher: Dane Dunning
• Game Day: Monday, July 4, 2022
• Game Time: 1:05 PM ET
• Location: Baltimore, Maryland
• Stadium: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Baltimore Orioles vs Texas Rangers Pitching Matchup

Orioles Starter Dean Kremer

• Kremer gets the start for the Orioles, his sixth of the season. He is 2-1 with a 1.29 ERA and 19 strikeouts through 28 innings pitched.
• The right-hander last appeared on Wednesday against the Seattle Mariners, when he tossed seven scoreless innings while giving up four hits.
• In five games this season, the 26-year-old has a 1.29 ERA and 6.1 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .243 to opposing hitters.
• Kremer has two quality starts under his belt this season.
• Kremer will try to last five or more innings for his fifth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.2 innings per outing.
• He will take the hill against a Rangers offense that ranks 21st in MLB with 620 total hits (on a .237 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .395 (16th in MLB) with 100 total home runs (seventh in MLB).

Rangers Starter Dane Dunning

• The Rangers will hand the ball to Dunning (1-6) for his 17th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed six innings while giving up two earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Kansas City Royals.
• The 27-year-old has pitched in 16 games this season with an ERA of 4.09 and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .253.
• He’s looking to extend his two-game quality start streak.
• Dunning will look to pitch five or more innings for the third start in a row.
• The Orioles are batting .227 this season, 27th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .380 (19th in the league) with 83 home runs.
• Among qualified pitchers this year, the 27-year-old’s 4.09 ERA ranks 48th, 1.330 WHIP ranks 53rd, and 7.9 K/9 ranks 37th.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

• The Orioles have won five of the seven games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• This season, Baltimore has won five of its six games when favored by at least -118 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.1% chance of a victory for the Orioles.
• Baltimore’s games have gone over the total in 34 of their 81 chances.
• The Orioles are 52-29-0 against the spread in their 81 chances this season.

Rangers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Rangers have been victorious in 26, or 50%, of the 52 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Texas has a win-loss record of 25-23 when favored by -102 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 50.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Texas and their opponents have gone over in 33 of their 78 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Rangers have posted a record of 45-33-0 against the spread this season.

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Orioles RBI leader this season is Austin Hays, who has driven in 45 runs while hitting .267 with 11 home runs.
• Of all hitters in the majors, Hays ranks 57th in homers and 27th in RBI.
• Cedric Mullins has 19 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 22 walks while hitting .258.
• Mullins is 151st in home runs and 125th in RBI on the season.
• Mullins has three straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .267 with a double, three walks and an RBI.
• Anthony Santander leads the Orioles with 15 home runs.
• Santander has at least one base hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .150 with a home run, a walk and an RBI.
• Ryan Mountcastle’s .279 batting average is a team-high mark.
• Mountcastle is riding a six-game hitting streak into this one. In his last 10 games he is hitting .342 with six doubles, two home runs, three walks and three RBI.

Rangers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Adolis Garcia has a team-high 15 home runs and has driven in 50 runs.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Garcia ranks 28th in home runs and 18th in RBI.
• Corey Seager has shown his power as he leads his team with 15 home runs.
• Among all MLB hitters, Seager ranks 28th in homers and 68th in RBI.
• Marcus Semien is hitting .231 with 13 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 25 walks.
• Nate Lowe paces the Rangers with a .279 batting average.