Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/5/2022

Alex Verdugo (14 games) will look to add to his hitting streak when the Boston Red Sox (45-35) and Tampa Bay Rays (43-37) meet Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET, live from Fenway Park. Verdugo and the Red Sox are favored by bookmakers with -134 odds on the moneyline. Nick Pivetta will get the ball for Boston while Tampa Bay counter with Jeffrey Springs.

Red Sox vs. Rays Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Red Sox vs. Rays

We have the Rays on the moneyline at +113 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after analyzing all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 9.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Tampa Bay Rays (+113) and Over (9.5)

Red Sox vs. Rays Game Info

• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta
• Tampa Bay Rays probable starting pitcher: Jeffrey Springs
• Game Day: Tuesday, July 5, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Boston, Massachusetts
• Stadium: Fenway Park

Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Pitching Matchup

Red Sox Starter Nick Pivetta

• The Red Sox are sending Pivetta (8-5) to the mound to make his 17th start of the season. He is 8-5 with a 3.23 ERA and 91 strikeouts in 94 2/3 innings pitched.
• The righty last appeared on Wednesday against the Toronto Blue Jays, when he went six innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up five hits.
• The 29-year-old has an ERA of 3.23, with 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in 16 games this season. Opponents have a .212 batting average against him.
• Pivetta is seeking his fifth quality start in a row.
• Pivetta is looking for his 12th straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.3 innings per appearance on the hill.
• The opposing Rays offense has the 25th-ranked slugging percentage (.376) and is 19th in MLB play with 76 home runs. It has a collective .236 batting average, and is 16th in MLB with 632 total hits and 25th in MLB action scoring 325 runs.
• The 29-year-old’s 3.23 ERA ranks 28th, 1.120 WHIP ranks 23rd, and 8.7 K/9 ranks 23rd among qualifying pitchers this season.

Rays Starter Jeffrey Springs

• The Rays will send out Springs for his first start of the season.
• The left-hander is making his first start of the year. The 29-year-old did not make an appearance on the mound last season.
• The Red Sox have scored 378 runs this season, which ranks sixth in MLB. They are batting .261 for the campaign with 75 home runs, 21st in the league.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have won 30, or 63.8%, of the 47 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Boston is 17-13 this season when entering a game favored by -134 or more on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have a 57.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Boston’s games have gone over the total in 31 of their 80 chances.
• The Red Sox are 45-35-0 ATS in their 80 games with a spread this season.

Rays Betting Picks & Insights

• The Rays have come away with 10 wins in the 26 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Tampa Bay has come away with a win three times in 11 chances when named as an underdog of at least +113 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rays have a 46.9% chance of walking away with the win.
• Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 38 of their 80 opportunities.
• The Rays have posted a record of 36-44-0 against the spread this season.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Red Sox leader in both batting average and long balls is Rafael Devers, who comes into the game hitting .327 and has left the yard 17 times while driving in 46 runs this season.
• In all of the majors, Devers is 15th in homers and 24th in RBI.
• Devers carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .261 with a double, a walk and an RBI.
• Xander Bogaerts has 21 doubles, six home runs and 31 walks while batting .318.
• Bogaerts ranks 152nd in home runs and 115th in RBI on the season.
• Verdugo has 17 doubles, six home runs and 20 walks while batting .264.
• Verdugo has at least one base hit in 14 games in a row. In his last 10 games he is hitting .366 with three doubles, two home runs, five walks and eight RBI.
• J.D. Martinez is hitting .306 with 24 doubles, eight home runs and 28 walks.

Rays Leaders & Batting Stats

• Yandy Diaz paces the Rays with a .283 batting average.
• In all of the big leagues, Diaz ranks 250th in homers and 243rd in RBI.
• Diaz brings a hitting streak of nine games into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is batting .429 with four doubles, six walks and two RBI.
• Randy Arozarena has been productive as he paces his team with 36 runs batted in.
• Arozarena is 100th overall in home runs and 68th in RBI this year.
• Wander Franco is hitting .255 with 12 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 12 walks.
• Harold Ramirez is hitting .317 with 12 doubles, four home runs and 14 walks.