Brewers vs. Cubs Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/6/2022

The Milwaukee Brewers (47-36) hope to avoid an upset as -256 favorites when they take on Seiya Suzuki (with homers in two straight contests) and the Chicago Cubs (33-48). First pitch is at 2:10 PM ET Wednesday, live from American Family Field. Milwaukee’s Corbin Burnes and Chicago’s Adrian Sampson have been named the starters for this contest.

Brewers vs. Cubs Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Cubs

We have the Cubs on the moneyline at +211 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Chicago Cubs (+211) and Over (8)

Brewers vs. Cubs Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes
• Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Adrian Sampson
• Game Day: Wednesday, July 6, 2022
• Game Time: 2:10 PM ET
• Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• Stadium: American Family Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Matchup

Brewers Starter Corbin Burnes

• Burnes (7-4) gets the starting nod for the Brewers in his 17th start of the season. He’s put together a 2.36 ERA in 99 1/3 innings pitched, with 124 strikeouts.
• His last time out was on Friday against the Pittsburgh Pirates, when the right-hander went 6 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up just one hit.
• The 27-year-old has amassed an ERA of 2.36, with 11.2 strikeouts per nine innings, in 16 games this season. Opponents are hitting .185 against him.
• Burnes is trying to continue a fourth-game quality start streak in this outing.
• Burnes is aiming for his fifth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.1 frames per appearance on the hill.
• The opposing Cubs offense has the 12th-ranked slugging percentage (.400) and is 18th in MLB play with 82 home runs. It has a collective .249 batting average, and is 11th in MLB with 687 total hits and 15th in MLB play scoring 357 runs.
• Burnes has thrown 12 innings, giving up five earned runs on eight hits while striking out 14 against the Cubs this season.
• This season, the 27-year-old ranks eighth in ERA (2.36), sixth in WHIP (.916), and fourth in K/9 (11.2) among qualifying pitchers.

Cubs Starter Adrian Sampson

• Sampson heads to the mound for the Cubs to make his third start of the season, seeking his first win.
• The right-hander last pitched on Friday, when he threw 5 1/3 innings against the Boston Red Sox, giving up four earned runs.
• He has an ERA of 3.94, a batting average against of .242 and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings in four games this season.
• Sampson has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Brewers rank eighth in MLB with 382 runs scored this season. They have a .235 batting average this campaign with 115 home runs (fourth in the league).

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Brewers have been favorites in 65 games this season and won 37 (56.9%) of those contests.
• Milwaukee has a record of 2-1 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -256 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 71.9% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
• Games involving Milwaukee have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 43 of 83 chances this season.
• The Brewers are 38-45-0 against the spread in their 83 chances this season.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cubs have come away with 23 wins in the 56 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Chicago has played as an underdog of +211 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 32.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 41 of their 81 opportunities.
• In 81 games with a line this season, the Cubs have a mark of 41-40-0 against the spread.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rowdy Tellez has gone yard 17 times in the 2022 campaign while driving in 55 runs, both totals that lead the Brewers.
• Tellez is 16th in homers and 10th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Christian Yelich has a club-best .251 batting average.
• Yelich ranks 104th in homers and 121st in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Willy Adames is batting .207 with 11 doubles, 16 home runs and 24 walks.
• Andrew McCutchen is hitting .249 with 12 doubles, seven home runs and 24 walks.

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

• Willson Contreras is batting .274 with 17 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 35 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .392.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Contreras’ home run total ranks 41st and his RBI tally ranks 81st.
• Ian Happ has a club-best .283 batting average.
• Happ is 104th in home runs and 63rd in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
• Patrick Wisdom leads the Cubs in home runs (17) and runs batted in (45).
• Nico Hoerner is hitting .307 with eight doubles, three triples, four home runs and 11 walks.