Braves vs. Cardinals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/6/2022

The St. Louis Cardinals (44-39) hope to avoid their fourth straight defeat when they visit the Atlanta Braves (48-34) Wednesday at 7:20 PM ET. The Braves are listed as -189 favorites, while the Cardinals are +160 underdogs as they try to snap their losing skid. Max Fried will get the ball for Atlanta while St. Louis counter with Miles Mikolas.

Braves vs. Cardinals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Cardinals

Our best bet is the Cardinals on the moneyline at +160 after analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will under the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: St. Louis Cardinals (+160) and Under (8.5)

Braves vs. Cardinals Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Max Fried
• St. Louis Cardinals probable starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas
• Game Day: Wednesday, July 6, 2022
• Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Stadium: Truist Park

Atlanta Braves vs St. Louis Cardinals Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Max Fried

• Fried makes the start for the Braves, his 17th of the season. He is 8-2 with a 2.66 ERA and 96 strikeouts in 101 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his last appearance on Friday against the Cincinnati Reds, the left-hander tossed 7 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering five hits.
• The 28-year-old has put up an ERA of 2.66, with 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings, in 16 games this season. Opponents are batting .232 against him.
• Fried is trying to record his fourth quality start in a row in this matchup.
• Fried will look to continue a 17-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 innings per appearance).
• The opposing Cardinals offense has the 10th-ranked slugging percentage (.407) and is 13th in MLB play with 90 home runs. It has a collective .252 batting average, and is fourth in MLB with 715 total hits and fifth in MLB play scoring 387 runs.
• This season, the 28-year-old ranks 13th in ERA (2.66), 14th in WHIP (1.026), and 25th in K/9 (8.5) among qualifying pitchers.

Cardinals Starter Miles Mikolas

• The Cardinals’ Mikolas (5-6) will make his 17th start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Friday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed six hits in 5 1/3 innings against the Philadelphia Phillies.
• The 33-year-old has pitched to a 2.61 ERA this season with 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.9 walks per nine across 16 games.
• In 16 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in 10 of them.
• Mikolas will look to pitch five or more innings for the 16th start in a row.
• The Braves are batting .249 this season, ninth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .443 (first in the league) with 124 home runs.
• Among qualified pitchers this year, the 33-year-old’s 2.61 ERA ranks 12th, .990 WHIP ranks 11th, and 7.1 K/9 ranks 51st.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Braves have won 39 out of the 59 games, or 66.1%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Atlanta has a record of 12-4 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -189 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 65.4%.
• Games involving Atlanta have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 40 of 81 chances this season.
• The Braves are 41-40-0 ATS in their 81 games with a spread this season.

Cardinals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cardinals have been chosen as underdogs in 41 games this year and have walked away with the win 18 times (43.9%) in those games.
• St. Louis has been listed as an underdog of +160 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cardinals have a 38.5% chance of pulling out a win.
• St. Louis and their opponents have gone over in 40 of their 84 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Cardinals are 45-38-0 against the spread in their 83 games that had a posted line this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Dansby Swanson leads the Braves with a team-best batting average of .299.
• In all of the majors, Swanson is 36th in home runs and 21st in RBI.
• Swanson brings a hitting streak of two games into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .435 with four doubles, a home run and six RBI.
• Austin Riley has put his power on display as he paces his team with 21 home runs and 51 runs batted in.
• Riley is eighth in home runs and 17th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Matt Olson has 32 doubles, 12 home runs and 45 walks while hitting .256.
• Olson has at least one base hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .300 with a double, two walks and five RBI.
• Marcell Ozuna is batting .228 with 10 doubles, 16 home runs and 21 walks.
• Ozuna brings a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with a double, two home runs and two RBI.

Cardinals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Paul Goldschmidt leads the squad with a batting average of .340, while pacing the Cardinals in home runs, with 19 and runs batted in with 65.
• Goldschmidt’s home run total puts him 12th in the majors, and he is second in RBI.
• Goldschmidt carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with two doubles and a walk.
• Nolan Arenado is hitting .296 with 20 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 28 walks.
• Arenado is 16th in home runs and 10th in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
• Tommy Edman has 12 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 30 walks while batting .262.
• Brendan Donovan has 14 doubles, a triple, two home runs and 29 walks while hitting .292.