Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/7/2022

The New York Yankees (59-23) and Isiah Kiner-Falefa (four hits last time out) are favored (-162) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Boston Red Sox (45-37) on Thursday at 7:10 PM ET. Gerrit Cole starts for New York while Josh Winckowski is Boston’s starter for the contest.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Red Sox

We have the Red Sox on the moneyline at +138 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after looking at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going under the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Boston Red Sox (+138) and Under (8.5)

Yankees vs. Red Sox Game Info

• New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole
• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Josh Winckowski
• Game Day: Thursday, July 7, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Boston, Massachusetts
• Stadium: Fenway Park

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Yankees Starter Gerrit Cole

• Cole makes the start for the Yankees, his 17th of the season. He is 7-2 with a 2.99 ERA and 117 strikeouts through 93 1/3 innings pitched.
• His last time out came on Saturday against the Cleveland Guardians, when the righty threw 6 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up three hits.
• The 31-year-old has put together a 2.99 ERA and 11.3 strikeouts per nine innings across 16 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .195 to opposing hitters.
• Cole is trying to secure his fifth quality start in a row in this matchup.
• Cole will aim to pitch five or more innings for his fifth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.3 innings per outing.
• The opposing Red Sox offense has a collective .261 batting average, and is first in the league with 740 total hits and ninth in MLB action with 383 runs scored. It has the eighth-ranked slugging percentage (.414) and ranks 20th in home runs (77) in all of MLB.
• Cole has a 6.75 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP against the Red Sox this season in four innings pitched, allowing a .267 batting average over one appearance.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 31-year-old ranks 21st in ERA (2.99), 12th in WHIP (.996), and third in K/9 (11.3).

Red Sox Starter Josh Winckowski

• The Red Sox will hand the ball to Winckowski (3-2) for his sixth start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up one earned run in 6 2/3 innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Chicago Cubs.
• The 24-year-old has pitched to a 3.12 ERA this season with 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.4 walks per nine across five games.
• He has started five games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in two of them.
• Winckowski will look to pitch five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
• The Yankees are batting .241 this season, 15th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .439 (second in the league) with 139 home runs.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Yankees have been favored 77 times and won 54, or 70.1%, of those games.
• New York is 39-14 this season when entering a game favored by -162 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 61.8%.
• New York and its opponents have hit the over in 35 of their 82 games with a total this season.
• The Yankees are 41-41-0 ATS in their 82 games with a spread this season.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have been victorious in 15, or 45.5%, of the 33 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Boston has come away with a win one times in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +138 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 42% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Contests with Boston have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 32 of 82 chances this season.
• In 82 games with a line this season, the Red Sox have a mark of 45-37-0 against the spread.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

• Aaron Judge’s 30 long balls and 64 RBI both lead the Yankees, in addition to his team-high .287 average.
• In all of the majors, Judge is first in home runs and fourth in RBI.
• Judge brings a hitting streak of two games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .313 with two doubles, a home run, four walks and five RBI.
• Anthony Rizzo is hitting .219 with 10 doubles, a triple, 22 home runs and 37 walks.
• Rizzo is fifth in homers and 17th in RBI on the season.
• DJ LeMahieu is hitting .271 with 13 doubles, eight home runs and 40 walks.
• LeMahieu has at least one base hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .333 with a home run, five walks and three RBI.
• Giancarlo Stanton is hitting .236 with five doubles, 21 home runs and 32 walks.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rafael Devers paces the Red Sox with 17 home runs and has a team-best batting average of .327.
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Devers ranks 16th in homers and 26th in RBI.
• Devers has collected a hit in four straight games. In his last five games he is batting .261 with a double, a walk and an RBI.
• Xander Bogaerts is batting .314 with 21 doubles, seven home runs and 32 walks.
• Bogaerts ranks 132nd in home runs and 93rd in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Alex Verdugo is hitting .260 with 17 doubles, six home runs and 20 walks.
• J.D. Martinez is batting .311 with 26 doubles, eight home runs and 28 walks.