Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/9/2022

Following a four-hit effort last time out, Rob Refsnyder leads the Boston Red Sox (45-39) into action as +140 underdogs against the New York Yankees (61-23). The game gets underway from Fenway Park at 7:15 PM ET on Saturday. New York’s Jordan Montgomery gets the start, and he’ll go against Boston’s Kutter Crawford.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Red Sox

After analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Red Sox on the moneyline at +140. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 9.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Boston Red Sox (+140) and Over (9.5)

Yankees vs. Red Sox Game Info

• New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery
• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford
• Game Day: Saturday, July 9, 2022
• Game Time: 7:15 PM ET
• Location: Boston, Massachusetts
• Stadium: Fenway Park

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Yankees Starter Jordan Montgomery

• Montgomery (3-2 with a 3.19 ERA and 72 strikeouts in 90 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Yankees, his 17th of the season.
• The lefty’s most recent time out was on Sunday against the Cleveland Guardians, when he threw 5 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing three hits.
• In 16 games this season, the 29-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.19, with 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .226 against him.
• Montgomery is trying to record his eighth quality start of the season.
• Montgomery will look to last five or more innings for his 10th straight start. He’s averaging 5.2 innings per outing.
• The opposing Red Sox offense has the eighth-ranked slugging percentage (.415) and ranks 20th in MLB play with 81 home runs. It has a collective .260 batting average, and is first in MLB with 758 total hits and sixth in MLB action scoring 393 runs.
• Head-to-head against the Red Sox this season, Montgomery has thrown 3 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on four hits while striking out four.
• The 29-year-old’s 3.19 ERA ranks 27th, 1.030 WHIP ranks 18th, and 7.2 K/9 ranks 50th among qualifying pitchers this season.

Red Sox Starter Kutter Crawford

• Crawford will get the start for the Red Sox, his third of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched out of the bullpen on Monday, when he threw 5 1/3 scoreless innings while allowing two hits to the Tampa Bay Rays.
• He has pitched in 11 games this season with an ERA of 5.04, a 2.462 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.480.
• Crawford has started two games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings two times. He averages 2.1 innings per appearance.
• The Yankees are batting .242 this season, 15th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .442 (second in the league) with 143 home runs.
• The Yankees have gone 5-for-11 with a double in two games against the right-hander this season.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

• The Yankees have won 56, or 70.9%, of the 79 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• This season, New York has won 39 of its 53 games, or 73.6%, when favored by at least -162 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 61.8%.
• New York and its opponents have hit the over in 37 of their 84 games with a total this season.
• The Yankees are 42-42-0 against the spread this season.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have come away with 15 wins in the 35 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Boston has a win-loss record of 1-4 when favored by +140 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 41.7% chance of pulling out a win.
• Boston’s games have gone over the total in 34 of their 84 opportunities.
• The Red Sox have an against the spread record of 46-38-0 in 84 games with a line this season.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

• Aaron Judge leads the Yankees in home runs (30), runs batted in (64) and has put up a team-high batting average of .282.
• Including all MLB hitters, Judge is 34th in batting average, 28th in on-base percentage, and second in slugging.
• Anthony Rizzo has 10 doubles, a triple, 22 home runs and 37 walks while batting .219.
• Rizzo ranks fifth in home runs and 17th in RBI on the season.
• DJ LeMahieu has 13 doubles, eight home runs and 42 walks while hitting .269.
• Gleyber Torres has 16 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 21 walks while batting .269.
• Torres has recorded at least one hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .409 with three doubles, three walks and two RBI.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox with 19 home runs and has a team-high batting average of .327.
• Devers’ home run total puts him 13th in the big leagues, and he ranks 18th in RBI.
• Xander Bogaerts is batting .306 with 21 doubles, seven home runs and 33 walks.
• Bogaerts ranks 139th among all batters in the majors in homers, and 89th in RBI.
• Alex Verdugo has 17 doubles, six home runs and 21 walks while hitting .253.
• J.D. Martinez is batting .314 with 26 doubles, eight home runs and 30 walks.