Rays vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/10/2022

The Cincinnati Reds (31-54) will look to Brandon Drury, after his four-hit game last time out, to lead them in a matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays (45-39) on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET. The Reds are +123 underdogs for the contest, according to bookmakers. Shane Baz gets the starting nod for Tampa Bay while Nick Lodolo is Cincinnati’s starter for the contest.

Rays vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Rays vs. Reds

We have the Reds on the moneyline at +123 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going under the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+123) and Under (9)

Rays vs. Reds Game Info

• Tampa Bay Rays probable starting pitcher: Shane Baz
• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo
• Game Day: Sunday, July 10, 2022
• Game Time: 1:40 PM ET
• Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
• Stadium: Great American Ball Park

Tampa Bay Rays vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Rays Starter Shane Baz

• Baz gets the start for the Rays, his sixth of the season. He is 1-1 with a 2.92 ERA and 28 strikeouts through 24 2/3 innings pitched.
• The righty’s most recent time out came on Sunday against the Toronto Blue Jays, when he threw 6 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing seven hits.
• In five games this season, the 23-year-old has amassed a 2.92 ERA and 10.2 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .209 to opposing hitters.
• Baz is looking to record his third quality start of the year.
• Baz will look to continue a three-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.3 frames per appearance).
• The opposing Reds offense has the 26th-ranked slugging percentage (.374) and ranks 22nd in MLB play with 77 home runs. It has a collective .238 batting average, and is 21st in MLB with 667 total hits and 18th in MLB action scoring 357 runs.

Reds Starter Nick Lodolo

• Lodolo (1-2) will take to the mound for the Reds and make his fifth start of the season.
• The left-hander did not allow a run in 4 2/3 innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the New York Mets.
• The 24-year-old has an ERA of 4.19 and 12.6 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .269 in four games this season.
• Lodolo has two starts of five or more innings this season in four chances. He averages 4.3 innings per outing.
• The Rays rank 24th in MLB with 345 runs scored this season. They have a .236 batting average this campaign with 77 home runs (22nd in the league).

Rays Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Rays have won 33 out of the 56 games, or 58.9%, in which they’ve been favored.
• This season, Tampa Bay has won 20 of its 34 games, or 58.8%, when favored by at least -144 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 59% chance of a victory for the Rays.
• Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 39 of their 84 games with a total this season.
• The Rays have an ATS record of 38-46-0 in 84 games with a spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 67 games this year and have walked away with the win 25 times (37.3%) in those games.
• This year, Cincinnati has won 18 of 48 games when listed as at least +123 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 44.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 45 of their 87 opportunities.
• The Reds are 39-48-0 against the spread in their 87 games that had a posted line this season.

Rays Leaders & Batting Stats

• Yandy Diaz is the Rays best hitter so far this season, hitting at a team-leading .292 rate along with three homers and 18 RBI.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Diaz’s home run total ranks him 258th, and his RBI tally ranks him 246th.
• Randy Arozarena has been productive as he leads his team with 39 runs batted in.
• Among all major league hitters, Arozarena is 96th in home runs and 68th in RBI.
• Harold Ramirez has 15 doubles, four home runs and 15 walks while batting .321.
• Harold Ramirez is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .318 with three doubles, a home run, a walk and five RBI.
• Wander Franco is batting .256 with 12 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 17 walks.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Brandon Drury paces the Reds in home runs (18), runs batted in (50) and has posted a team-high batting average of .275.
• In all of the big leagues, Drury ranks 17th in homers and 22nd in RBI.
• Drury has collected a hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .429 with two doubles, a triple, a home run, a walk and five RBI.
• Tommy Pham is hitting .246 with 10 doubles, 11 home runs and 38 walks.
• Among all MLB hitters, Pham ranks 63rd in home runs and 85th in RBI.
• Kyle Farmer is batting .271 with 17 doubles, five home runs and 18 walks.
• Joey Votto is hitting .210 with 15 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 33 walks.