Braves vs. Mets Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/11/2022

The Atlanta Braves (52-35) are -119 moneyline favorites to win Monday when they plan to send Max Fried to the mound to face the New York Mets (53-33). Fried will try to earn his 10th win when the teams hit the field at 7:20 PM ET. Atlanta’s Fried gets the start, and he’ll go against New York’s Max Scherzer.

Braves vs. Mets Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Mets

After taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Mets on the moneyline at -101. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going under the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: New York Mets (-101) and Under (7)

Braves vs. Mets Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Max Fried
• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Max Scherzer
• Game Day: Monday, July 11, 2022
• Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Stadium: Truist Park

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Max Fried

• Fried (9-2) is going for his 10th victory when he takes the mound for the Braves in his 18th start of the season. He has a 2.52 ERA in 107 1/3 innings pitched, with 100 strikeouts.
• In his most recent appearance on Wednesday against the St. Louis Cardinals, the lefty tossed 6 2/3 scoreless innings while surrendering five hits.
• In 17 games this season, the 28-year-old has amassed an ERA of 2.52, with 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .231 against him.
• Fried is trying to notch his fifth quality start in a row in this game.
• Fried is looking for his 18th straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.1 frames per appearance on the hill.
• He will face a Mets offense that ranks eighth in MLB with 741 total hits (on a .255 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .400 (10th in MLB) with 85 total home runs (19th in MLB).
• Fried has pitched six innings, giving up two earned runs on four hits while striking out six against the Mets this season.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 28-year-old’s 2.52 ERA ranks 10th, 1.025 WHIP ranks 14th, and 8.4 K/9 ranks 30th.

Mets Starter Max Scherzer

• The Mets’ Scherzer (5-1) will make his 10th start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he allowed two hits in 6 2/3 scoreless innings against the Cincinnati Reds.
• The 37-year-old has pitched to a 2.26 ERA this season with 11.3 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.8 walks per nine across nine games.
• He has earned a quality start six times in nine starts this season.
• Scherzer has pitched five or more innings in nine straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Braves have scored 416 runs this season, which ranks third in MLB. They have 743 hits, seventh in baseball, with 133 home runs (second in the league).

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have been favorites in 64 games this season and won 43 (67.2%) of those contests.
• Atlanta has a record of 42-19 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -119 on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 54.3% chance to win.
• So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 41 of their 86 games with a total.
• The Braves are 43-43-0 against the spread this season.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have come away with 11 wins in the 24 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, New York has been victorious eight times in 19 chances when named as an underdog of at least -101 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 50.2% chance of walking away with the win.
• New York and their opponents have hit the over in 45 of their 88 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Mets have an against the spread record of 47-39-0 in 86 games with a line this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Austin Riley has gone yard 23 times in the 2022 campaign while driving in 56 runs, both totals that lead the Braves.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Riley’s home run total ranks him fifth, and his RBI tally ranks him 11th.
• Riley has collected a hit in six straight games. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .463 with five doubles, five home runs, four walks and 13 RBI.
• Dansby Swanson is batting .299 to pace his team.
• Swanson ranks 39th in homers and 23rd in RBI among all major league batters this year.
• Matt Olson has 33 doubles, 13 home runs and 47 walks while hitting .254.
• Marcell Ozuna has 11 doubles, 17 home runs and 24 walks while hitting .227.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso paces the Mets with 23 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 70.
• Alonso’s home run total places him fifth in the big leagues, and he is first in RBI.
• Alonso has collected a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .286 with a double, a home run and an RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .239 with 11 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 32 walks.
• Lindor ranks 31st among all batters in the big leagues in homers, and seventh in RBI.
• Starling Marte has 18 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 16 walks while batting .288.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .268 with 15 doubles, five triples, eight home runs and 31 walks.