Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/10/2022

The Milwaukee Brewers (48-38) are -176 favorites to take Game 3 of th series from the Pittsburgh Pirates (35-50) Sunday at 2:10 PM ET. The teams enter the matchup with the series record tied, and the underdog Pirates are listed with +149 odds to win the rubber match and take the series victory. Eric Lauer will get the ball for Milwaukee while Pittsburgh counter with Jose Quintana.

Brewers vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Pirates

After digging through all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Pirates on the moneyline at +149. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+149) and Over (8)

Brewers vs. Pirates Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Eric Lauer
• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: José Quintana
• Game Day: Sunday, July 10, 2022
• Game Time: 2:10 PM ET
• Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• Stadium: American Family Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Brewers Starter Eric Lauer

• The Brewers will send Lauer (6-3) out to make his 16th start of the season. He is 6-3 with a 3.84 ERA and 89 strikeouts through 84 1/3 innings pitched.
• The lefty last pitched on Monday against the Chicago Cubs, when he threw 6 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while giving up two hits.
• In 15 games this season, the 27-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.84, with 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .232 against him.
• Lauer is trying to secure his eighth quality start of the year in this outing.
• Lauer will look to pick up his 13th matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 5.2 innings per appearance.
• The opposing Pirates offense has the 28th-ranked slugging percentage (.368) and is 13th in MLB play with 91 home runs. It has a collective .219 batting average, and is 29th in MLB with 606 total hits and 28th in MLB action scoring 308 runs.
• Lauer has pitched six innings, giving up one earned run on five hits while striking out five against the Pirates this season.

Pirates Starter José Quintana

• The Pirates’ Quintana (2-4) will make his 17th start of the season.
• The left-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed six hits in 5 2/3 innings against the New York Yankees.
• The 33-year-old has pitched in 16 games this season with an ERA of 3.11, a 2.96 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.272.
• He has started 16 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in four of them.
• Quintana has pitched five or more innings in five straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Brewers rank 21st in MLB with a .236 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks ninth in the league (.412) and 118 home runs.
• The left-hander has allowed the Brewers to go 4-for-19 with a home run and an RBI in five innings this season.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Brewers have entered the game as favorites 68 times this season and won 38, or 55.9%, of those games.
• This season, Milwaukee has won 15 of its 25 games, or 60%, when favored by at least -176 on the moneyline.
• The Brewers have a 63.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 43 of their 86 opportunities.
• The Brewers have an ATS record of 38-48-0 in 86 games with a spread this season.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have won in 26, or 37.7%, of the 69 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious 13 times in 37 chances when named as an underdog of at least +149 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 40.2% chance of pulling out a win.
• Contests with Pittsburgh have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 35 of 86 chances this season.
• The Pirates have an against the spread mark of 42-44-0 in 86 games with a line this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Brewers best power option comes in the form of Rowdy Tellez and his 17-homer 55-RBI season, both team highs.
• Of all batters in baseball, Tellez is 19th in home runs and 11th in RBI.
• Christian Yelich is batting .248 with 12 doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 44 walks.
• Yelich is 111th in home runs and 129th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Willy Adames leads the Brewers with 17 home runs.
• Adames will look to build on his three-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .238 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and an RBI.
• Andrew McCutchen’s .254 batting average is a team-high mark.
• McCutchen has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .158 with two walks and an RBI.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryan Reynolds leads the squad with a batting average of .262, while pacing the Pirates in home runs, with 15 and runs batted in with 32.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Reynolds is 30th in home runs and 119th in RBI.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has 15 doubles, two triples, three home runs and 30 walks while batting .244.
• Among all major league hitters, Hayes ranks 258th in homers and 168th in RBI.
• Daniel Vogelbach is batting .242 with nine doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 33 walks.
• Jack Suwinski has nine doubles, 14 home runs and 22 walks while batting .208.