Cubs vs. Orioles Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/13/2022

The Chicago Cubs (34-53) stumble into Wednesday’s matchup with the Baltimore Orioles (44-44) looking to break a five-game losing streak. The contest starts at 8:05 PM ET with the Cubs listed as -129 favorites to right the ship. Chicago’s Justin Steele gets the start, and he’ll go against Baltimore’s Spenser Watkins.

Cubs vs. Orioles Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Cubs vs. Orioles

After digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Orioles on the moneyline at +109. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Baltimore Orioles (+109) and Over (8)

Cubs vs. Orioles Game Info

• Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Justin Steele
• Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Spenser Watkins
• Game Day: Wednesday, July 13, 2022
• Game Time: 8:05 PM ET
• Location: Chicago, Illinois
• Stadium: Wrigley Field

Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Cubs Starter Justin Steele

• Steele (3-5 with a 4.13 ERA and 76 strikeouts in 76 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Cubs, his 17th of the season.
• The lefty’s last appearance came on Monday, July 4 against the Milwaukee Brewers, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing two hits.
• In 16 games this season, the 27-year-old has amassed an ERA of 4.13, with 9 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .247 against him.
• Steele is looking to record his fifth quality start of the season in this game.
• Steele will try to extend an eight-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.2 frames per appearance).
• He will take the hill against an Orioles squad that is batting .230 as a unit (25th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .381 (19th in MLB) with 89 total home runs (17th in MLB).

Orioles Starter Spenser Watkins

• Watkins (2-1) will take the mound for the Orioles, his 12th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in 6 2/3 innings pitched against the Texas Rangers on Wednesday.
• The 29-year-old has pitched to a 4.15 ERA this season with 4.9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.4 walks per nine across 11 games.
• If he completes six or more innings with three or fewer earned runs allowed, he’ll earn his third quality start in a row.
• Watkins has three starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Cubs have scored 378 runs this season, which ranks 16th in MLB. They have 724 hits, 12th in baseball, with 88 home runs (18th in the league).

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Cubs have won 10 out of the 26 games, or 38.5%, in which they’ve been favored.
• This season, Chicago has won five of its 13 games, or 38.5%, when favored by at least -129 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.3% chance of a victory for the Cubs.
• Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 42 of their 87 opportunities.
• The Cubs are 43-44-0 ATS in their 87 games with a spread this season.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

• The Orioles have won in 37, or 46.8%, of the 79 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This season, Baltimore has come away with a win 29 times in 64 chances when named as an underdog of at least +109 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 47.8% chance of walking away with the win.
• Contests with Baltimore have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 38 of 89 chances this season.
• The Orioles have an against the spread mark of 58-31-0 in 89 games with a line this season.

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ian Happ is batting .276 with 23 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 41 walks.
• Happ ranks 98th in home runs and 60th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Happ carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .238 with two doubles, a home run and three RBI.
• Willson Contreras is batting .266 with 17 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 35 walks.
• Contreras ranks 46th in home runs in baseball, and 99th in RBI.
• Patrick Wisdom leads the Cubs with 17 home runs and 45 runs batted in.
• Nico Hoerner is batting .305 to pace his team.
• Hoerner is riding a five-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with three doubles, a home run and two RBI.

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

• Cedric Mullins is batting .261 with 23 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 25 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .320.
• Mullins’ home run total puts him 142nd in the majors, and he is 89th in RBI.
• Austin Hays has driven in the most runs for the Orioles with 45 runs batted in.
• Hays is 67th in home runs and 41st in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Anthony Santander has 15 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
• Ryan Mountcastle is hitting .269 with 20 doubles, 14 home runs and 16 walks.