Braves vs. Mets Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/13/2022

The Atlanta Braves (53-36) host the New York Mets (54-34) Wednesday to close out a three-game series. The Braves are favored (-154) to win the rubber match, which starts at 12:20 PM ET from Truist Park. Charlie Morton takes the mound for Atlanta while Chris Bassitt is New York’s starter for the contest.

Braves vs. Mets Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Braves vs. Mets

We have the Mets on the moneyline at +131 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: New York Mets (+131) and Over (8.5)

Braves vs. Mets Game Info

• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Charlie Morton
• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt
• Game Day: Wednesday, July 13, 2022
• Game Time: 12:20 PM ET
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Stadium: Truist Park

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Pitching Matchup

Braves Starter Charlie Morton

• The Braves are sending Morton (5-3) out to make his 18th start of the season. He is 5-3 with a 4.21 ERA and 108 strikeouts through 94 innings pitched.
• In his last appearance on Friday, the right-hander went 7 2/3 innings against the Washington Nationals, giving up two earned runs while surrendering four hits.
• In 17 games this season, the 38-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.21, with 10.3 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .229 against him.
• Morton is trying to prolong a second-game quality start streak in this matchup.
• Morton will try to continue a nine-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing).
• The opposing Mets offense has the 14th-ranked slugging percentage (.398) and ranks 19th in MLB play with 86 home runs. It has a collective .254 batting average, and is seventh in MLB with 755 total hits and fifth in MLB play scoring 414 runs.
• Morton has pitched 5 2/3 innings, giving up four earned runs on six hits while striking out three against the Mets this season.
• The 38-year-old ranks 50th in ERA (4.21), 37th in WHIP (1.213), and sixth in K/9 (10.3) among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season.

Mets Starter Chris Bassitt

• The Mets will send Bassitt (6-6) to the mound for his 17th start this season.
• The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed six hits in 6 1/3 innings pitched against the Miami Marlins on Friday.
• The 33-year-old has an ERA of 3.84 and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .228 in 16 games this season.
• He’s going for his fifth quality start in a row.
• Bassitt will look to pitch five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
• The Braves have scored 421 runs this season, which ranks third in MLB. They are batting .249 for the campaign with 136 home runs, second in the league.
• The right-hander has allowed the Braves to go 6-for-25 with a double, a home run and three RBI in seven innings this season.
• The 33-year-old ranks 40th in ERA (3.84), 26th in WHIP (1.125), and 15th in K/9 (9.2) among qualified pitchers in the majors this year.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have entered the game as favorites 66 times this season and won 44, or 66.7%, of those games.
• Atlanta has a record of 27-12, a 69.2% win rate, when favored by -154 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.6% chance of a victory for the Braves.
• Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 41 of their 88 opportunities.
• The Braves have an ATS record of 44-44-0 in 88 games with a spread this season.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have been victorious in 12, or 46.2%, of the 26 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• New York has a win-loss record of 2-3 when favored by +131 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The Mets have an implied victory probability of 43.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 45 of their 90 opportunities.
• The Mets are 48-40-0 against the spread in their 88 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Austin Riley has gone yard 24 times in the 2022 campaign while driving in 57 runs, both totals that lead the Braves.
• Riley’s home runs place him fourth in the majors, and he is 11th in RBI.
• Riley has collected a hit in eight straight games. During his last 10 games he is batting .415 with four doubles, four home runs, two walks and nine RBI.
• Dansby Swanson has a club-high .294 batting average.
• Swanson is 39th in home runs and 25th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Matt Olson has 33 doubles, 14 home runs and 47 walks while hitting .251.
• Marcell Ozuna is hitting .226 with 12 doubles, 17 home runs and 25 walks.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso paces the Mets with 23 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 72.
• Alonso’s home run total places him sixth in the majors, and he ranks first in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .245 with 11 doubles, three triples, 15 home runs and 32 walks.
• Lindor ranks 31st in homers and seventh in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Starling Marte is hitting .288 with 18 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 16 walks.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .266 with 16 doubles, five triples, eight home runs and 34 walks.