Yankees vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/13/2022

by | Jul 13, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Yankees vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/13/2022

The New York Yankees (61-25) stumble into Wednesday’s matchup with the Cincinnati Reds (32-54) looking to break a three-game losing streak. The contest starts at 7:05 PM ET with the Yankees listed as -333 favorites to right the ship. New York’s Luis Severino gets the start, and he’ll go against Cincinnati’s Mike Minor.

Yankees vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Yankees vs Reds Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Yankees -333 +262 9 -102 -118 -1.5 -151 +127

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Reds

We have the Reds on the moneyline at +262 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after taking a look at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+262) and Over (9)

Yankees vs. Reds Game Info

  • New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Luis Severino
  • Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Mike Minor
  • Game Day: Wednesday, July 13, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • Location: The Bronx, New York
  • Stadium: Yankee Stadium

New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Severino Minor
15 GS 7
5-3 W-L 1-6
3.11 ERA 6.63
84.0 IP 38.0
23 BB 12
94 SO 32

Yankees Starter Luis Severino

  • Severino (5-3 with a 3.11 ERA and 94 strikeouts in 84 innings pitched) makes the start for the Yankees, his 16th of the season.
  • His last appearance came on Wednesday against the Pittsburgh Pirates, when the right-hander tossed six scoreless innings while giving up four hits.
  • In 15 games this season, the 28-year-old has a 3.11 ERA and 10.1 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .205 to his opponents.
  • Severino is aiming for his fourth straight quality start.
  • Severino will look to last five or more innings for his 10th straight start. He’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing.
  • He will face a Reds offense that ranks 19th in the league with 367 runs while batting .240 as a squad. It has a collective .379 slugging percentage (22nd in MLB action) and has hit a total of 80 home runs (22nd in MLB).

Reds Starter Mike Minor

  • The Reds will hand the ball to Minor (1-6) for his eighth start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed 6 1/3 innings while giving up four earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
  • The 34-year-old has pitched in seven games this season with an ERA of 6.63 and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .278.
  • He has earned a quality start one time in seven starts this season.
  • Minor has pitched five or more innings in five straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • The Yankees have scored 450 runs this season, which ranks first in MLB. They have 697 hits, 17th in baseball, with 146 home runs (first in the league).

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Yankees have been favored 82 times and won 56, or 68.3%, of those games.
  • New York is undefeated in three games this season when favored by -333 or more on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 76.9% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
  • So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 39 of their 87 games with a total.
  • In 87 games with a spread this season, the Yankees are 42-45-0 ATS.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Reds have come away with 27 wins in the 69 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Cincinnati has yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +262.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 27.6% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 46 of their 89 opportunities.
  • The Reds have posted a record of 41-48-0 against the spread this season.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with 30 home runs and 65 runs batted in, while putting up a team-high batting average of .283.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Judge ranks 34th in batting average, 31st in on-base percentage, and second in slugging.
  • Judge has collected a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .292 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and six RBI.
  • Anthony Rizzo is batting .223 with 13 doubles, a triple, 22 home runs and 37 walks.
  • Rizzo ranks eighth in homers and 16th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Rizzo carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .316 with three doubles, two home runs, two walks and four RBI.
  • DJ LeMahieu is batting .270 with 13 doubles, eight home runs and 42 walks.
  • Gleyber Torres is batting .268 with 16 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 21 walks.
  • Torres brings a five-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .435 with three doubles, three walks and two RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Aaron Judge 83 .283 .361 .610 30 65 90
Anthony Rizzo 79 .223 .333 .509 22 54 63
DJ LeMahieu 77 .270 .370 .402 8 35 76
Gleyber Torres 76 .268 .324 .483 13 37 71
Giancarlo Stanton 71 .233 .316 .508 22 56 60

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Brandon Drury paces the Reds in home runs (18), runs batted in (50) and has posted a team-best batting average of .273.
  • Drury is 18th in home runs and 25th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Drury takes a hitting streak of four games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .364 with three doubles, a triple, a home run and five RBI.
  • Tommy Pham is hitting .248 with 10 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 38 walks.
  • Among all major league hitters, Pham ranks 64th in homers and 87th in RBI.
  • Kyle Farmer is batting .271 with 17 doubles, five home runs and 18 walks.
  • Tyler Stephenson is batting .320 with eight doubles, six home runs and 11 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Brandon Drury 76 .273 .330 .536 18 50 79
Tommy Pham 77 .248 .335 .406 11 36 71
Kyle Farmer 72 .271 .337 .396 5 40 69
Tyler Stephenson 44 .320 .372 .493 6 33 48
Joey Votto 62 .210 .332 .374 6 25 45

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