Marlins vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/14/2022

The Miami Marlins will look to pick up their 43rd win of the season when they take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (38-51) Thursday. The game begins at 12:10 PM ET, with the Marlins listed as -160 favorites on the moneyline. Braxton Garrett gets the starting nod for Miami while Zach Thompson is Pittsburgh’s starter for the contest.

Marlins vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Marlins vs. Pirates

After analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Pirates on the moneyline at +137. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+137) and Over (7.5)

Marlins vs. Pirates Game Info

• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Braxton Garrett
• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: Zach Thompson
• Game Day: Thursday, July 14, 2022
• Game Time: 12:10 PM ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Stadium: loanDepot park

Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Marlins Starter Braxton Garrett

• Garrett (1-3) takes the mound for the Marlins in his eighth start of the season. He’s put together a 4.33 ERA in 35 1/3 innings pitched, with 29 strikeouts.
• In his last time out on Saturday, the left-hander tossed 5 2/3 innings against the New York Mets, allowing three earned runs while surrendering three hits.
• In seven games this season, the 24-year-old has amassed a 4.33 ERA and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .277 to his opponents.
• Garrett has one quality start under his belt this year.
• Garrett will try to build upon a three-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.0 frames per outing).
• He will take the hill against a Pirates offense that ranks 29th in MLB with 643 total hits (on a .221 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .373 (27th in MLB) with 97 total home runs (14th in MLB).

Pirates Starter Zach Thompson

• The Pirates will hand the ball to Thompson (3-6) for his 15th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed six hits in 4 2/3 innings pitched against the Milwaukee Brewers on Saturday.
• The 28-year-old has pitched to a 4.38 ERA this season with 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.8 walks per nine across 15 games.
• In 14 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in one of them.
• Thompson has made six starts of five or more innings in 14 chances this season, and averages 4.1 frames when he pitches.
• The Marlins rank 21st in MLB with 367 runs scored this season. They have a .238 batting average this campaign with 90 home runs (16th in the league).

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Marlins have won 24 out of the 38 games, or 63.2%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Miami has a record of 5-6, a 45.5% win rate, when favored by -160 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The Marlins have a 61.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• So far this season, Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 42 of their 87 games with a total.
• The Marlins are 43-44-0 against the spread this season.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have been victorious in 29, or 39.7%, of the 73 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 19-32 when favored by +137 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 42.2% chance of pulling out a win.
• Pittsburgh and their opponents have gone over in 37 of their 90 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Pirates have posted a record of 46-44-0 against the spread this season.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Garrett Cooper is the Marlins best hitter so far this season, hitting at a team-leading .296 clip along with seven homers and 40 RBI.
• Among all MLB hitters, Cooper ranks 20th in batting average, 28th in on-base percentage, and 47th in slugging.
• Miguel Rojas is hitting .242 with 11 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 16 walks.
• Rojas is 174th in homers and 222nd in RBI in the majors.
• Jesus Aguilar is hitting .245 with 14 doubles, 11 home runs and 19 walks.
• Aguilar will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is batting .278 with a double, a home run and two RBI.
• Jon Berti is hitting .271 with 10 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 26 walks.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ke’Bryan Hayes has 16 doubles, two triples, four home runs and 32 walks while hitting .250.
• In all of the majors, Hayes ranks 233rd in homers and 157th in RBI.
• Hayes has collected a hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with a double, a home run, two walks and two RBI.
• Daniel Vogelbach has totaled 33 runs batted in to lead his team.
• Among all MLB hitters, Vogelbach ranks 57th in home runs and 119th in RBI.
• Jack Suwinski has nine doubles, 14 home runs and 24 walks while hitting .199.
• Michael Chavis is batting .236 with 10 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 13 walks.