Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/15/2022

by | Jul 15, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/15/2022

Jonathan Schoop (12 games) will look to add to his hitting streak when the Detroit Tigers (37-53) and Cleveland Guardians (44-44) meet Friday at 7:10 PM ET, live from Progressive Field. Jonathan Schoop and the Tigers are listed as underdogs on the moneyline by bookmakers (+159). Zach Plesac takes the mound for Cleveland while Drew Hutchison is Detroit’s starter for the contest.

Guardians vs. Tigers Spread and Betting Line

Guardians vs Tigers Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Guardians -187 +159 8 -116 -104 -1.5 +115 -138

Computer Predictions for Guardians vs. Tigers

Our best bet is the Tigers on the moneyline at +159 after looking at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Detroit Tigers (+159) and Over (8)

Guardians vs. Tigers Game Info

  • Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Zach Plesac
  • Detroit Tigers probable starting pitcher: Drew Hutchison
  • Game Day: Friday, July 15, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: Cleveland, Ohio
  • Stadium: Progressive Field

Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Pitching Matchup

Plesac Hutchison
16 GS 4
2-7 W-L 1-4
3.89 ERA 4.08
90.1 IP 35.1
23 BB 17
65 SO 22

Guardians Starter Zach Plesac

  • Plesac (2-7) gets the starting nod for the Guardians in his 17th start of the season. He has a 3.89 ERA in 90 1/3 innings pitched, with 65 strikeouts.
  • The right-hander’s most recent appearance came on Sunday against the Kansas City Royals, when he went 5 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • In 16 games this season, the 27-year-old has put up a 3.89 ERA and 6.5 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .251 to opposing hitters.
  • Plesac is trying to secure his 10th quality start of the year in this matchup.
  • Plesac will try to extend a nine-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 frames per appearance).
  • The opposing Tigers offense has the 29th-ranked slugging percentage (.334) and is last in MLB play with 52 home runs. It has a collective .230 batting average, and is 27th in MLB with 677 total hits and last in MLB play scoring 283 runs.
  • Head-to-head against the Tigers this season, Plesac has pitched six innings, giving up two earned runs on six hits while striking out three.
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 27-year-old’s 3.89 ERA ranks 41st, 1.240 WHIP ranks 42nd, and 6.5 K/9 ranks 54th.

Tigers Starter Drew Hutchison

  • The Tigers will send Hutchison (1-4) to the mound for his fifth start this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed five hits in 6 2/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox.
  • The 31-year-old has an ERA of 4.08, a 1.294 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.358 in 14 games this season.
  • In four starts this season, he’s earned one quality start.
  • Hutchison will look to pitch five or more innings for the third start in a row.
  • The Guardians rank 19th in MLB with 375 runs scored this season. They have a .247 batting average this campaign with 68 home runs (28th in the league).
  • The right-hander has allowed the Guardians to go 5-for-19 with two doubles and an RBI in five innings this season.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Guardians have won 28 out of the 45 games, or 62.2%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Cleveland has a record of 2-1 when favored by -187 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 65.2% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
  • Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 42 of their 96 games with a total this season.
  • In 96 games with a spread this season, the Guardians are 50-46-0 ATS.

Tigers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Tigers have been underdogs in 72 games this season and have come away with the win 29 times (40.3%) in those contests.
  • This year, Detroit has won seven of 24 games when listed as at least +159 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Tigers have a 38.6% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Contests with Detroit have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 31 of 91 chances this season.
  • The Tigers are 42-49-0 against the spread in their 91 games that had a posted line this season.

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

  • The Guardians best power option comes in the form of Jose Ramirez and his 17-dinger 69-RBI season, both team highs.
  • Ramirez is 23rd in home runs and second in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
  • Amed Rosario is batting .290 with 15 doubles, five triples, four home runs and 17 walks.
  • Amed Rosario is 232nd in home runs in the majors, and 158th in RBI.
  • Amed Rosario enters this game looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .526 with three doubles and two RBI.
  • Steven Kwan is hitting .279 with 12 doubles, three triples, a home run and 31 walks.
  • Josh Naylor has 13 doubles, 12 home runs and 17 walks while batting .273.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
José Ramírez 85 .288 .368 .563 17 69 93
Amed Rosario 82 .290 .327 .402 4 27 96
Steven Kwan 76 .279 .360 .357 1 23 75
Josh Naylor 60 .273 .328 .500 12 44 59
Andrés Giménez 77 .294 .354 .480 10 43 73

Tigers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Javier Baez leads the Tigers with nine home runs and runs batted in, driving in 35.
  • In all of MLB, Baez is 102nd in homers and 104th in RBI.
  • Baez carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with four doubles, a home run, two walks and four RBI.
  • Schoop is batting .217 with 14 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 12 walks.
  • Schoop is 174th overall in homers and 198th in RBI this season.
  • Miguel Cabrera has put up a team-high batting average of .290.
  • Willi Castro is batting .250 with 10 doubles, two triples, two home runs and eight walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Javier Báez 76 .221 .260 .388 9 35 65
Jonathan Schoop 86 .217 .251 .323 6 23 70
Miguel Cabrera 77 .290 .328 .351 3 34 81
Harold Castro 58 .270 .300 .397 4 18 51
Willi Castro 62 .250 .285 .350 2 15 50

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