Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/16/2022

The Cleveland Guardians (45-44) are -170 favorites when they meet the Detroit Tigers (37-54) on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET. Amed Rosario has 97 hits on the season and will hope to hit his milestone 100th once the game begins at Progressive Field. Cleveland’s Cal Quantrill gets the start, and he’ll go against Detroit’s Michael Pineda.

Guardians vs. Tigers Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Guardians vs. Tigers

After digging through all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Tigers on the moneyline at +143. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Detroit Tigers (+143) and Over (8.5)

Guardians vs. Tigers Game Info

• Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill
• Detroit Tigers probable starting pitcher: Michael Pineda
• Game Day: Saturday, July 16, 2022
• Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
• Location: Cleveland, Ohio
• Stadium: Progressive Field

Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Pitching Matchup

Guardians Starter Cal Quantrill

• Quantrill gets the start for the Guardians, his 17th of the season. He is 5-5 with a 3.99 ERA and 58 strikeouts through 94 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent time out on Monday, the right-hander tossed 6 2/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox, allowing four earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
• In 16 games this season, the 27-year-old has amassed a 3.99 ERA and 5.5 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .269 to opposing hitters.
• Quantrill is trying to pick up his 10th quality start of the season in this game.
• Quantrill has put up 14 starts this season in which he pitched five or more innings.
• He will take the hill against a Tigers offense that ranks 27th in MLB with 685 total hits (on a .230 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .334 (29th in MLB) with 53 total home runs (30th in MLB).
• Quantrill has a 6.75 ERA and a 2.5 WHIP against the Tigers this season in four innings pitched, allowing a .400 batting average over one appearance.
• Among pitchers who qualify in MLB play this season, the 27-year-old ranks 43rd in ERA (3.99), 49th in WHIP (1.320), and 62nd in K/9 (5.5).

Tigers Starter Michael Pineda

• Pineda (2-4) will take the mound for the Tigers, his ninth start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Monday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed seven hits in 5 1/3 innings against the Kansas City Royals.
• The 33-year-old has pitched to a 3.58 ERA this season with 4.5 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.4 walks per nine across eight games.
• In eight starts this season, he’s earned one quality start.
• Pineda has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Guardians have scored 381 runs this season, which ranks 18th in MLB. They have 746 hits, 12th in baseball, with 68 home runs (29th in the league).
• The right-hander has faced the Guardians one time this season, allowing them to go 5-for-18 with a double, a home run and two RBI in five innings.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

• The Guardians have entered the game as favorites 46 times this season and won 29, or 63%, of those games.
• Cleveland has a record of 7-1 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -170 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 63% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
• So far this season, Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 43 of their 97 games with a total.
• In 97 games with a spread this season, the Guardians are 50-47-0 ATS.

Tigers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Tigers have won in 29, or 39.7%, of the 73 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This year, Detroit has won 11 of 34 games when listed as at least +143 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 41.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Detroit and their opponents have hit the over in 32 of their 92 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Tigers have an against the spread mark of 43-49-0 in 92 games with a line this season.

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jose Ramirez has racked up a team-best 17 home runs and 70 runs batted in.
• Of all hitters in the majors, Ramirez’s home run total ranks him 23rd, and his RBI tally ranks him second.
• Ramirez carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .263 with a double, two walks and four RBI.
• Rosario has 15 doubles, five triples, four home runs and 17 walks while hitting .290.
• Among all MLB hitters, Rosario is 230th in home runs and 160th in RBI.
• Rosario carries a six-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last 10 games he is batting .375 with three doubles, a home run and three RBI.
• Steven Kwan is hitting .279 with 13 doubles, three triples, a home run and 32 walks.
• Kwan will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with two doubles and two walks.
• Josh Naylor is hitting .271 with 13 doubles, 12 home runs and 18 walks.

Tigers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Javier Baez has a team-high nine home runs and has driven in 35 runs.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Baez’s home run total ranks 101st and his RBI tally is 107th.
• Jonathan Schoop is hitting .215 with 14 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 12 walks.
• Schoop is currently 174th in homers and 200th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Miguel Cabrera has a team-best batting average of .286.
• Harold Castro is hitting .280 with 10 doubles, two triples, four home runs and eight walks.