Astros vs. Athletics Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/17/2022

by | Jul 17, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Astros vs. Athletics Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/17/2022

The Houston Astros (59-31) host the Oakland Athletics (31-61) Sunday to close out a three-game series. The Astros are favored (-286) to win the rubber match, which starts at 2:10 PM ET from Minute Maid Park. Houston’s Jake Odorizzi gets the start, and he’ll go against Oakland’s Adam Oller.

Astros vs. Athletics Spread and Betting Line

Astros vs Athletics Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Astros -286 +240 8 -115 -105 -1.5 -139 +112

Computer Predictions for Astros vs. Athletics

After looking at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Athletics on the moneyline at +240. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Oakland Athletics (+240) and Over (8)

Astros vs. Athletics Game Info

  • Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: Jake Odorizzi
  • Oakland Athletics probable starting pitcher: Adam Oller
  • Game Day: Sunday, July 17, 2022
  • Game Time: 2:10 PM ET
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Stadium: Minute Maid Park

Houston Astros vs Oakland Athletics Pitching Matchup

Odorizzi Oller
9 GS 0
4-2 W-L 0-0
3.37 ERA
42.2 IP 0
14 BB 0
31 SO 0

Astros Starter Jake Odorizzi

  • Odorizzi (4-2 with a 3.37 ERA and 31 strikeouts in 42 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Astros, his 10th of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday against the Oakland Athletics, when he tossed seven scoreless innings while giving up four hits.
  • The 32-year-old has a 3.37 ERA and 6.5 strikeouts per nine innings across nine games this season, while allowing a batting average of .238 to his opponents.
  • Odorizzi has registered three quality starts this season.
  • Odorizzi heads into the game with five outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
  • The opposing Athletics offense has the worst slugging percentage (.332) and ranks 29th in MLB play with 69 home runs. It has a collective .211 batting average, and is last in MLB with 634 total hits and 29th in MLB action scoring 302 runs.
  • Odorizzi has pitched seven innings without giving up an earned run on four hits, while striking out seven against the Athletics this season.

Athletics Starter Adam Oller

  • The Athletics will send Oller to the mound for his first start this season.
  • The right-hander is making his first start of the year. The 27-year-old did not make an appearance on the mound last season.
  • The Astros rank 18th in MLB with a .239 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks sixth in the league (.420) and 126 home runs.

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Astros have entered the game as favorites 74 times this season and won 52, or 70.3%, of those games.
  • Houston has entered three games this season favored by -286 or more and is 2-1 in those contests.
  • The Astros have a 74.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Houston’s games have gone over the total in 32 of their 91 chances.
  • The Astros are 48-43-0 against the spread this season.

Athletics Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Athletics have been victorious in 26, or 33.3%, of the 78 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Oakland has a mark of 1-3 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +240 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Athletics have an implied victory probability of 29.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Oakland and their opponents have gone over in 37 of their 92 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Athletics have posted a record of 43-49-0 against the spread this season.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Kyle Tucker has put up a team-best 61 runs batted in.
  • Of all hitters in MLB, Tucker is 24th in home runs and eighth in RBI.
  • Alex Bregman is batting .240 with 20 doubles, 11 home runs and 52 walks.
  • Bregman ranks 72nd in homers and 47th in RBI on the season.
  • Jose Altuve is batting .276 with 17 doubles, 17 home runs and 36 walks.
  • Yuli Gurriel is hitting .235 with 24 doubles, seven home runs and 19 walks.
  • Gurriel takes a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .211 with a walk and an RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Kyle Tucker 84 .249 .342 .461 17 61 74
Alex Bregman 87 .240 .357 .412 11 46 74
Jose Altuve 73 .276 .371 .524 17 33 76
Yuli Gurriel 82 .235 .287 .386 7 26 70
Jeremy Pena 69 .260 .307 .442 12 33 67

Athletics Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Elvis Andrus has 20 doubles, six home runs and 26 walks while hitting .224.
  • Andrus’ home run total places him 174th in MLB, and he ranks 187th in RBI.
  • Andrus carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .200 with two walks and three RBI.
  • Sean Murphy’s .241 batting average paces his team.
  • Murphy is currently 100th in home runs and 96th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Seth Brown has been a significant run producer for the Athletics with 10 home runs and 38 runs batted in.
  • Ramon Laureano has 13 doubles, eight home runs and 21 walks while batting .235.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Elvis Andrus 84 .224 .292 .359 6 25 63
Sean Murphy 82 .241 .308 .411 9 36 72
Seth Brown 85 .215 .269 .398 10 38 60
Ramón Laureano 61 .235 .321 .403 8 20 52
Tony Kemp 84 .206 .285 .267 2 14 57

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