Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/17/2022

The Cleveland Guardians (46-44) will take on the Detroit Tigers (37-55) on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET. Amed Rosario will be looking for his 100th hit of the season for the favored Guardians (-219) when the game gets underway at Progressive Field. Shane Bieber will get the ball for Cleveland while Detroit counter with Tyler Alexander.

Guardians vs. Tigers Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Guardians vs. Tigers

We have the Tigers on the moneyline at +185 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after digging through all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Detroit Tigers (+185) and Over (8)

Guardians vs. Tigers Game Info

• Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Shane Bieber
• Detroit Tigers probable starting pitcher: Tyler Alexander
• Game Day: Sunday, July 17, 2022
• Game Time: 1:40 PM ET
• Location: Cleveland, Ohio
• Stadium: Progressive Field

Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Pitching Matchup

Guardians Starter Shane Bieber

• Bieber gets the start for the Guardians, his 18th of the season. He is 4-5 with a 3.32 ERA and 106 strikeouts in 105 2/3 innings pitched.
• His last appearance was on Tuesday against the Chicago White Sox, when the righty threw nine innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up three hits.
• In 17 games this season, the 27-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.32, with 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .241 against him.
• Bieber is looking to pick up his 13th quality start of the year.
• Bieber will try to build upon a seven-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 innings per outing).
• The opposing Tigers offense has a collective .229 batting average, and is 27th in the league with 690 total hits and last in MLB play with 288 runs scored. It has the 29th-ranked slugging percentage (.333) and ranks last in home runs (53) in all of MLB.
• Bieber has a 3.48 ERA and a 1.258 WHIP against the Tigers this season in 20 2/3 innings pitched, allowing a .266 batting average over three appearances.
• This season, the 27-year-old ranks 29th in ERA (3.32), 30th in WHIP (1.136), and 20th in K/9 (9.0) among qualifying pitchers.

Tigers Starter Tyler Alexander

• The Tigers will hand the ball to Alexander (2-3) for his fifth start of the season.
• The left-hander’s last appearance came in relief on Thursday when he threw one inning out of the bullpen against the Cleveland Guardians, giving up one earned run while allowing two hits.
• The 28-year-old has pitched in 13 games this season with an ERA of 4.45 and 5.3 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .286.
• Alexander has started four games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings one time. He averages 2.1 innings per appearance.
• The Guardians rank ninth in MLB with a .249 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 18th in the league (.384) and 71 home runs.
• This season, the left-hander has pitched against the Guardians in two games, and they have gone 4-for-15 with a home run and an RBI over 4 1/3 innings.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Guardians have been favored 47 times and won 30, or 63.8%, of those games.
• Cleveland has played as a favorite of -219 or more twice this season and won both games.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 68.7% chance to win.
• Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 44 of their 98 chances.
• The Guardians are 51-47-0 ATS in their 98 games with a spread this season.

Tigers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Tigers have been underdogs in 74 games this season and have come away with the win 29 times (39.2%) in those contests.
• Detroit has a win-loss record of 3-11 when favored by +185 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 35.1% chance of walking away with the win.
• Detroit and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 33 of their 93 opportunities.
• The Tigers are 43-50-0 against the spread in their 93 games that had a posted line this season.

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jose Ramirez has a team-best 19 home runs and 75 runs batted in.
• In all of the majors, Ramirez ranks 17th in home runs and second in RBI.
• Ramirez has collected a hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .300 with a double, two home runs, a walk and seven RBI.
• Rosario has 16 doubles, five triples, four home runs and 17 walks while hitting .291.
• Of all MLB hitters, Rosario is 231st in home runs and 155th in RBI.
• Rosario carries a seven-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .415 with four doubles, a home run and five RBI.
• Steven Kwan is batting .279 with 13 doubles, three triples, a home run and 32 walks.
• Kwan has at least one base hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .250 with two doubles and two walks.
• Josh Naylor is hitting .274 with 13 doubles, 13 home runs and 18 walks.

Tigers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Javier Baez has posted a team-leading nine home runs and has driven in 35 runs.
• Baez ranks 100th in home runs and 106th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Jonathan Schoop is batting .212 with 14 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 12 walks.
• Schoop ranks 174th in homers and 200th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Miguel Cabrera leads the Tigers with a team-best batting average of .287.
• Harold Castro is batting .281 with 10 doubles, two triples, four home runs and nine walks.