Giants vs. Brewers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/17/2022

The San Francisco Giants (47-43), led by Darin Ruf on a two-game home run streak, are -176 favorites on the moneyline to defeat the Milwaukee Brewers (50-42). First pitch is set for 4:05 PM ET Sunday, live from Oracle Park. Logan Webb gets the starting nod for San Francisco while Aaron Ashby is Milwaukee’s starter for the contest.

Giants vs. Brewers Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Giants vs. Brewers

Our best bet is the Brewers on the moneyline at +150 after looking at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Milwaukee Brewers (+150) and Over (7.5)

Giants vs. Brewers Game Info

• San Francisco Giants probable starting pitcher: Logan Webb
• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Aaron Ashby
• Game Day: Sunday, July 17, 2022
• Game Time: 4:05 PM ET
• Location: San Francisco, California
• Stadium: Oracle Park

San Francisco Giants vs Milwaukee Brewers Pitching Matchup

Giants Starter Logan Webb

• Webb (8-3 with a 2.82 ERA and 96 strikeouts in 111 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Giants, his 19th of the season.
• In his last outing on Wednesday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, the righty went 6 2/3 scoreless innings while surrendering five hits.
• The 25-year-old has a 2.82 ERA and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings in 18 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .233 to opposing hitters.
• Webb is aiming for his seventh straight quality start.
• Webb will try to go five or more innings for his eighth straight appearance. He’s averaging 6.1 innings per outing.
• He will face a Brewers offense that is batting .234 as a unit (24th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .405 (10th in MLB) with 122 total home runs (fourth in MLB).
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 25-year-old’s 2.82 ERA ranks 15th, 1.110 WHIP ranks 24th, and 7.7 K/9 ranks 41st.

Brewers Starter Aaron Ashby

• The Brewers will send Ashby (2-6) to the mound for his 12th start this season.
• The left-hander gave up one earned run and allowed six hits in 4 1/3 innings pitched against the Minnesota Twins on Wednesday.
• The 24-year-old has an ERA of 4.37, a 2.531 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.456 in 17 games this season.
• In 11 starts this season, he’s earned one quality start.
• In 11 starts this season, Ashby has lasted five or more innings five times, with an average of 4.0 innings per appearance.
• The Giants have scored 428 runs this season, which ranks sixth in MLB. They have 708 hits, 25th in baseball, with 109 home runs (10th in the league).

Giants Betting Picks & Insights

• The Giants have won 38, or 56.7%, of the 67 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• San Francisco is 12-11 this season when entering a game favored by -176 or more on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Giants have a 63.8% chance to win.
• Games involving San Francisco have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 43 of 91 chances this season.
• In 90 games with a spread this season, the Giants are 44-46-0 ATS.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Brewers have been victorious in 11, or 52.4%, of the 21 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Oddsmakers have given Milwaukee the worst odds of winning they have seen this season with a +150 moneyline listed for this contest.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Brewers have a 40% chance of walking away with the win.
• Contests with Milwaukee have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 45 of 92 chances this season.
• The Brewers are 40-52-0 against the spread in their 92 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Giants Leaders & Batting Stats

• Wilmer Flores has racked up a team-best 50 runs batted in.
• Flores is 50th in home runs and 30th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Thairo Estrada has a club-high .259 batting average.
• Estrada is 100th in home runs and 96th in RBI in the majors.
• Estrada has two straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .300 with two doubles, two home runs and three RBI.
• Joc Pederson paces the Giants with 17 home runs.
• Mike Yastrzemski is hitting .235 with 19 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 38 walks.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rowdy Tellez has recorded a team-best 55 runs batted in.
• Tellez’s home run total puts him 24th in the majors, and he ranks 19th in RBI.
• Christian Yelich is hitting .248 with 12 doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 46 walks.
• Among all MLB hitters, Yelich is 126th in home runs and 142nd in RBI.
• Willy Adames has 18 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
• Andrew McCutchen leads the Brewers with a .257 batting average.